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EURUSD BULLISH

Euro recovered and closed above the first resistance. For future trading references, if the trend remains bullish then the resistance of 1.1881 could be broken and push the price up to 1.1916. However, if the downward trend comes back then the support of 1.1797 may falter, which could pull the price lower to 1.1748.

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EUR/USD:
Monthly timeframe:

(Technical change on this timeframe is often limited, though serves as guidance to potential longer-term moves)

Down 2.5 percent MTD, June remains on the ropes. Reclaiming May’s gains and also chipping into April’s upside, EUR/USD recently touched gloves with familiar support at $1.1857-1.1352.

Upstream is concentrated on 2021 peaks at $1.2349, with additional enthusiasm welcoming ascending resistance (prior support [$1.1641]).

Based on trend studies, the primary uptrend has been underway since price broke the $1.1714 high (Aug 2015) in July 2017. Additionally, price breached major trendline resistance, taken from the high $1.6038, in July 2020.

Daily timeframe:

Snapping a decisive three-day bearish phase, Monday—ahead of Quasimodo support at $1.1836— kicked off the final full week of June chalking up a recovery. With a focus now likely on the 200-day simple moving average at $1.1992, extending recovery gains could be in store.

A $1.1836 breach, on the other hand, helps validate June’s bearish tone, highlighting Quasimodo support from $1.1688.

Reinforcing Monday’s gains, the RSI pencilled in hidden bullish divergence (commonly forms a trend continuation signal that suggests upside strength remains), with the value exiting oversold terrain (bullish cue).

H4 timeframe:

A closer examination of price action on the H4 scale informs traders a floor of support emerged just north of demand from $1.1794-1.1822, arranged under Quasimodo support at $1.1836 on the daily timeframe.

Overhead, resistance at $1.1937 calls for attention, followed by supply at $1.2006-1.1983 and resistance seen partnering with the zone at $1.1990 (38.2% Fib retracement value also visible at $1.2007).

H1 timeframe:

The dollar echoed weakness on Monday—DXY elbowed back under 92.00—as markets digest the recent Fed-induced bid. Technically, this lifted EUR/USD above $1.19 to within a stone’s throw of local resistance at $1.1924. Territory above the latter unmasks a relatively clear path to the $1.20ish neighbourhood, joined by supply from $1.2006-1.1983 and the 100-period simple moving average, currently circling $1.1973.

The picture drawn from the RSI indicator reveals the value levelling off ahead of overbought territory. Should a dip occur, trendline support is seen, taken from the low 8.62.

Observed levels:

The monthly timeframe rebounding from support at $1.1857-1.1352, in addition to the daily timeframe discovering a floor ahead of Quasimodo support from $1.1836, emphasises a bullish setting.

The above places H1 bulls in a favourable location, north of $1.19, with subsequent buying to perhaps pursue space north of H1 resistance at $1,924, targeting the $1.20 figure. Though do take into account this involves brushing aside H4 resistance at $1,1937.

Euro closed lower continue with the bear. For future trading references, if the trend returns bullish then the resistance of 1.1907 could be broken and push the price up to 1.1954. However, if the downward trend stays then the support of 1.1829 may falter, which could pull the price lower to 1.1799.

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Euro recovered after testing the daily low of 1.209. For future trading references, if the trend returns bullish then the resistance of 1.2135 could be broken and push the price up to 1.2150. However, if the downward trend stays then the support of 1.2099 may falter, which could pull the price lower to 1.2078.

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The USDJPY closed slightly higher. If the bullish momentum returns, then the pair might recover to the first resistance of 109.91 and extend further to 110.14. However, if the bear strikes then the pair could fall to 109.32 and possibly break the second support level of 109.06.