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Happy Vesak Day
In this Vesak Day, we wish you and your families, peace, unity and joy on your holy day. As Buddha said, “Your purpose in life is to find your purpose and give your whole heart and soul to it.”

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WELLS (0271) 0.730>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>0.795, 8.90% PROFIT IN CONTRADAY

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Final Target done 0.980>>>>>>>>1.070, 9.18% Profit in contraday.

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CONTRA BUY SIGN (7246)
ABOVE 0.980
TP 1.020/1.070
CL 0.930

THINGS TO KNOW TODAY 22-04-2024

• Fed officials remained hawkish, worrying markets over Middle East tensions. The S&P 500 has dropped for six straight days, dipping below the 50D MA. Technically, it's nearing the 100D MA and January's 4,900 peak. The 4,800-4,900 range, being last year's high and this rally's 38.2% correction point, serves as a crucial support

• The market awaits quarterly results from tech giants and the Fed's inflation indicator, the March PCE index, to gauge the direction of US stocks

USD Trend:
The market is waiting to see the important data released by the US this week

The US will announce Q1 GDP and March core PCE inflation data this week. Expected to slow to 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively, which may revive hopes for a Fed rate cut. The US dollar is stabilizing

Global Economy & Rates
Japan's inflation outlook remains uncertain

Japan's single-core and dual-core CPI growth slowed to 2.6% and 2.9% yoy in March, indicating that inflationary pressures have eased. However, due to the substantial wage increase by Japanese companies in April and the depreciation of the yen, the outlook for inflation remains uncertain.

Geopolitics
The situation in the Middle East has taken a turn for the worse

On Friday, Isfahan, Iran was attacked, but Israel didn't confirm it, and Iran stated no counterattack plans, easing risk aversion. Markets speculate both countries want to downplay the incident to prevent war.

US & European stock markets
▪ The market hopes for no escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict, yet US stocks remain influenced by rate cut expectations. Despite Friday's mixed performance, all three major indexes declined for the week, with Nasdaq dropping over 5.5%

▪ ECB members continue to discuss interest rate cuts, but are concerned about the situation in the Middle East. Stocks fell and the losses narrowed before the close

Asian & HK stock markets
▪ Tensions in the Middle East and market speculation that the US may cut interest rates as late as the fourth quarter have weighed on Asian stock markets
▪ HK stocks pressured by rate expectations and Middle East tensions, yet HSI held above 16,000. Focus shifts to results

FX & Commodities
▪ The market awaits key US data this week to assess the Fed's rate cut timing. Also, Middle East developments are being watched. The US dollar is stabilizing

Bond Market
▪ Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the US bond market fluctuated sharply, but the market tensions eased and US bond yields recovered their losses

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THINGS TO KNOW TODAY

OPTIMISM AT IT’s PEAK -

 HONGKONG MONETARY AUTHORITY (HKMA) kept rates steady at 5.75%, largely in line with US, who also left interest rates unchanged for the fifth consecutive time.

 AU Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI hits 10-month high signaling a sharp expansion in service sector.

 AU Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing shrinks but at the least pace since August 2020.

 Australia’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell in February 2024, the lowest since last September.

Brazil reduced key rates by 50 bps to 10.75%.

GLOBAL OUTLOOK –

 The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) about to sue Apple for violating antitrust laws by blocking rivals to access hardware and software features of iPhone.

 Snap Inc.’s Chief Financial Officer, Derek Andersen, sold 96,953 shares of class A company stock.

Sundar Pichai, the CEO of Alphabet Inc., has sold totaled over $3.3 million Alphabet’s C stocks.

 FCC investigating Retailers like Amazon and others for sale of unlawful electronic devices.

 CACI International Inc has been awarded order to modernize U.S. Army’s Global Secret Internet Protocol Router (SIPR) network.

 Intel is on spending spree for $100bn dollars across various US states.

 Synopsys, Inc. announced the completion of the acquisition of Intrinsic ID, a leading provider of Physical Unclonable Function (PUF) IP used in the design of system-on-chips (SoCs). MAJOR FOREX PAIRS:

EUR/USD retreats below 1.0900 after mixed PMI data
GBP/USD stays below 1.2800 after UK PMIs, BoE decision awaited
USD/JPY climbs back to 151.00
USD/CHF surges to near 0.8960 after SNB announced a 25 bps interest rate
USD/CAD moves downward to near 1.3470 during the Asian session on Thursday, extending its losses for the second successive day.
Australian Dollar extends gains on positive economic data from Australia.
NZD/USD hovers above the psychological support of 0.6100

OIL-BITCOIN-GOLD-SILVER:

Oil trades with modest gains above mid-$81,00s, bullish potential seems intact
Bitcoin (BTC) is at $66,839.33. This is a 6.01% increase in the last 24 hours, with a market cap of $1,314.08 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of $57.75 billion.
XAU/USD retreats after hitting a fresh record high earlier this Thursday and trades just above the $2,200 round-figure mark during the first half of the European session, still up for the second straight day
XAG/USD aims to recapture 11-month high slightly above $26

NEWS TODAY:

GBP
Monetary Policy Summary
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
Official Bank Rate

CAD
NHPI m/m

USD
Unemployment Claims
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
Current Account

CAD
Gov Council Member Gravelle Speaks

USD
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Flash Services PMI
Existing Home Sales
CB Leading Index m/m
Natural Gas Storage
FOMC Member Barr Speaks

CONTRA BUY WIDAD (0162)
ABOVE 0.100
TP 0.105/0.115
CL 0.095

Things to know today 19-03-2024

2024 – The Year of Wonders -

Japan has ended negative regime of interest rates, raised interest rates from -0.1% to 0%. Since 2007 this is the first time it came into positive though it is still “zero”.

Colombia joined the bandwagon with Expanded Economic Activity with increased to 1.6% in January 2024.

NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index in the United States increased to 51 in March 2024, as the lack of existing inventory continues to drive buyers to new home construction.

Raw Materials Price Index in Canada went up 2.1% month-over-month in February 2024.

GLOBAL UPDATES –

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. CEO Jack Sinclair has recently sold a total of 67,049 shares, transactions valued at more than $4.2 million.

Segway Robotics, a global leader in AMR technologies, collaborated with NVIDIA for a new developer kit which will expand the frontiers of robotic technologies.

Quiver Quantitative – Apple Inc. bolstered its artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities by acquiring the Canadian AI startup DarwinAI.

Advantech became the first Taiwan-based company to officially distribute industrial PCs that are certified with the NVIDIA AI Enterprise software platform.

Scott T. Mikuen, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary, of L3Harris Technologies Inc. has sold a total of 4,655 shares of company stock.

Zuckerberg offloaded total of 25,631, Class A Common Stock at prices ranging from $488.666 to $500.70 per share, resulting in sale value of over $15 million.

NVIDIA Corporation will drive Japan’s latest quantum computing initiative with the ABCI-Q supercomputer.

NVIDIA expanding collaborations with BYD and other Chinese automakers.

MicroStrategy Inc. Executive Chairman Michael J. Saylor has sold shares valued at over $2.85 million.

MAJOR FOREX PAIRS:

EUR/USD eases below 1.0850 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD drops below 1.2700 on notable US Dollar demand
USD/JPY extends rally beyond 150.00 as markets assess BoJ decisions
USD/CHF advances to near 0.8890 amid market caution preceding Fed's decision
USD/CAD Price Analysis: Rises above 1.3550 ahead of Canadian CPI, Fed policy
AUD/USD can break below February low of 0.6443 if the Fed turns less dovish
NZD/USD faces some selling pressure above 0.6050, eyes on Fed rate decision

OIL-BITCOIN-GOLD-SILVER:

Bitcoin price shows weakness, but new BTC whales have created solid support at $56,400
WTI stretches lower as Russia increases supplies, trades around $81.80
XAU/USD attracts some sellers on Tuesday and stalls the previous day's modest bounce from the $2,145 zone
XAG/USD moves away from YTD peak, slides below $25.00 mark

NEWS TODAY:

CAD
CPI m/m
Median CPI y/y
Trimmed CPI y/y
Common CPI y/y
Core CPI m/m

USD
Building Permits
Housing Starts

NZD
GDT Price Index

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CONTRA BUY SIMEPROP (5288) ABOVE 0.835
INTRADAY BUY MAGNI(7087) ABOVE 2.15

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GLOBAL CONUNDRUM OF RATES and REMITTANCES

• Indian 10yr G-Secs rose to 7.11%, tracking the rising yields across economies. Globally, price data was softer than markets expected, but investors heed hawkish signals from Central banks and refraining from G-Sec positions.

• Japan fell into a recession for the first time in five years, GDP unexpectedly shrank 0.1% qoq in Q4 of 2023.

• Australia’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased to 4.1% in January 2024, the highest since January 2022.

• Philippines Remittances grew by 3.8% year-on-year to USD 3.3 billion in December 2023. Major contributors - US, Saudi Arabia and UAE.

Global Watchlist

US MARKETS

• Lyft Inc. delivered strong financial results for both Q4 and entirety of 2023 with significant gross bookings and a positive free cash flow projection.

• Lithia Motors announced a record-breaking revenue of over $31 billion for the year, with $7.7 billion achieved in IVth quarter alone. Near-term revenue target of $50 billion.

• Nvidia, a leading chipmaker, at $1.7 trillion M-Cap surpasses Entire Chines Stock Market.

• Star Bulk Carriers Corp. robust IVth quarter, with a net income of $40 million and quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share. Merger with Eagle Bulk, to be completed by April 2024. This would catapult it as global leader in dry bulk shipping.

• Immersion Corporation, known for its touch feedback technology called haptics, entered into a licensing agreement with Meta Platforms.
• Uber announced $7bn share buyback.

• Broadcom Inc. and Google Cloud announced plans to support license portability of VMware Cloud Foundation to Google Cloud VMware Engine.

• Akamai Technologies reported strong performance for the Q4 FY23, revenue of $995M, 7% YoY increase. Akamai has seen significant growth in its security products. Optimistic projections for 2024.

• Sony Group prepares for the spin-off and listing of Sony Financial Group in October 2025, as it lowered its revenue forecast after sales of its PlayStation 5 gaming consoles slowed down.

• Abbott announces FDA’s vote in favor of TRICLIP System, a first-of-its-kind minimally invasive device specifically designed to treat the difficult-to-access tricuspid valve.

• Cadence Design, anticipates sustained momentum in the chip design sector, upgraded by Morgan Stanley to $350.

• Watsco, Inc., a leading distributor of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products, has reported robust financial results for the Q4 FY23.

MAJOR FOREX PAIRS:

EUR/USD moves higher to near 1.0740 on improved risk appetite, US Retail Sales eyed

GBP/USD stays on the back foot near 1.2550 after UK GDP data

USD/JPY drops to near 150.00 as USD Index falls ahead of US Retail Sales data

USD/CHF extends losses to near 0.8830 due to improved risk appetite

USD/CAD moves sideways after recent losses, clings to 1.3540

AUD/USD lost its intraday gains after the release of softer employment data. STANDS AT 0.6500

NZD/USD posts modest gains below 0.6100 ahead of US Retail Sales data

GBP/JPY slides further below mid-188.00s after UK GDP confirms technical recession

OIL-BITCOIN-GOLD-SILVER:

XAU/USD stays rangebound (2000-1990)

XAG/USD stabilizes above $22 on subdued USD Index, US Retail Sales eyed

Bitcoin price posts a new range high as Gensler details economic difference between BTC and the US Dollar ,touched $52400

WTI plunges to near $75.0 following a larger increase in US Crude Oil Stockpiles

News today:

USD

- Core Retail Sales m/m
- Empire State Manufacturing Index
- Retail Sales m/m
- Unemployment Claims
- Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
- Import Prices m/m

GBP

- MPC Member Mann Speaks

EUR

- German Buba President Nagel Speaks

CAD

- Manufacturing Sales m/m

NZD

- RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks
- Business NZ Manufacturing Index