Back Up Bolt Electric

Over 2 MILLION without power in southeast Texas from .

{10:00PM Thursday} ***As of the 10pm advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Beryl was a Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. However, Beryl is expected to weaken as it moves over the Yucatan peninsula early Friday morning. Beryl is forecast to arrive in the Gulf of Mexico as a tropical storm. At this time, a landfall in or near the Rio Grande Valley is looking more likely. Beryl is forecast to restrengthen into a weak hurricane before landfall early Monday. Expect 4-5” of rain with isolated pockets up to 7”+ from Sunday through Tuesday. Tropical storm force winds could arrive at our coast Sunday afternoon or evening and worsen overnight into Monday. Finalize your hurricane plan today, and start taking action tomorrow and Saturday if necessary for your location. We'll have more details on Beryl tonight and over the next several days...stay tuned.

The confidence for rain chances is on the increase across South-Central Texas for next week with Beryl but exact amounts remain uncertain. Texas beaches should expect increasing impacts from this weekend into next week. Stay tuned through the period for the latest on Beryl.

Keep an eye.

{1:10PM} The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on two tropical waves. The wave in the Caribbean Sea will move into Central America or the Yucatan Peninsula ... this wave has a small chance to form over the Bay of Campeche. It's likely staying well to the south of the RGV, but we could see a more active sea breeze on Sunday as a result of it. The southern Atlantic wave is likely to become the first hurricane as it moves closer to the Lesser Antilles by Monday.

Stay tuned for daily updates on the tropics, on air and online. Be sure to check out our "Tropics in 60" videos on the KRGV Weather app.

NEW: National Hurricane Center is now monitoring a tropical wave approaching the Trinidad & Tobago for possible development in ~5 days as it moves into the Western Caribbean.

No tropical threats in the near term for the Northern Gulf Coast.

NHC is giving a low, 20% chance of development by late week-weekend as disturbance nears Belize & the Yucatan Peninsula. Model guidance support has been hit/miss, but the Euro & GEFS Ensembles both highlight this area as a low-probability region of interest over the next week.

In addition, with record warm water temperatures in the East-Central Atlantic, model guidance has flirted with the idea of a few tropical waves with a bit more interest east of the Caribbean.

Let's keep things rolling right along...shhh!

Stay Hydrated! 💧

{8:30am Sat 6/22/24} (AL93): A broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a tropical depression could form before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico Sunday night. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico and Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today, if necessary.

This area of low pressure has a 50% chance of formation.

It’s busy in the tropics🌀thankfully, little of concern along the northern Gulf Coast over the next 7 days. Tropical Storm has made landfall in Mexico. Two other areas with a medium chance of formation. Next name is .

Follow my new Instagram for tropics updates: https://www.instagram.com/scotpilieweather...

Off the coast of the southeast U.S., now has a medium, 40% chance of development. Model guidance indicates a quick depression or weak tropical storm may form. Increased rain chances in. Northeast Florida/GA coast Friday.

In the Southern Gulf/Bay of Campeche by late weekend-early next week, National Hurricane Center is giving a medium, 50% chance of development.

A large ridge of high pressure will steer any tropical mischief in a similar path to Alberto. Additional heavy rain likely into south TX/Mexico.

Very hot conditions by the weekend in south Louisiana(91-95 & feel-like 105-108) into early next week before rain chances pick up by mid next week, which should allow highs to return to near normal levels.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH has been issued for the South Texas and Northeast Mexico coastline - from Port O'Connor, Texas - to Boca de Catan, Mexico - which includes the coast of the RGV. The tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico has been classified as "Potential Tropical Cyclone #1." That means the National Hurricane Center believes this system will develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm - and watches or warnings need to be issued. Tropical storm conditions are possible within 48 hours. This is mainly a rain event for the RGV, however gusty winds are possible in any thunderstorm this week. Do NOT focus on the center point of this storm - or the forecast cone of uncertainty. This is mainly a very large rainmaker which, regardless of the center position, will bring heavy rain to the RGV. 5 to 10 inches of rain likely, with localized amounts up to 15 inches possible this week.

Keep an eye!

The strong solar radiation storm on Saturday (June 8th) was the strongest solar radiation or "S" storm since September 2017.

Power outages are happening more frequently as destructive extreme weather thrashes America’s aging electric grid. https://bit.ly/3wXAt42

Keep an eye on weather forecast!

Update: This Severe Thunderstorm Watch is no longer in effect.

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Original Post:
The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been expanded further southward and now includes Harris County. The watch remains in effect through 9pm CDT this evening. Please continue to stay weather aware and have multiple ways to receive warnings.

Stay Hydrated!⚡️⚡️

The peak of the early season heatwave has arrived with record breaking temperatures and heat index values getting into the 105 to 115 range. Make sure you take frequent breaks, drink plenty of water, wear loose-fitting, light-colored clothing, and find some time in the shade or A.C. Here are today's heat headlines.

Stay prepared.

NOAA just released its 2024 Hurricane Outlook, predicting a very active season

Please be safe!!!

Stay safe!

The National Weather Service has issued Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237 in effect until 8 PM CDT this evening for the following areas

In Texas this watch includes 20 counties

In south central Texas

Jackson

In southeast Texas

Austin Brazoria Brazos
Burleson Chambers Colorado
Fort Bend Galveston Grimes
Harris Liberty Matagorda
Montgomery Polk San Jacinto
Walker Waller Washington
Wharton

This includes the cities of Alvin, Anahuac, Angleton, Bay City,
Bellville, Brenham, Brookshire, Bryan, Caldwell, Cleveland,
Clute, Coldspring, College Station, Columbus, Conroe, Corrigan,
Dayton, Dickinson, Eagle Lake, Edna, El Campo, First Colony,
Freeport, Friendswood, Galveston, Ganado, Hempstead, Houston,
Huntsville, Lake Jackson, League City, Liberty, Livingston,
Mission Bend, Missouri City, Mont Belvieu, Navasota,
Old River-Winfree, Palacios, Pearland, Pecan Grove, Prairie View,
Rosenberg, Sealy, Shepherd, Somerville, Stowell, Sugar Land,
Texas City, The Woodlands, Waller, Weimar, Wharton, and Winnie

Severe to extreme geomagnetic storming is again possible later today...