Think by Numbers

How a $100M IRS website upgrade could slash $191B off America's $650B annual tax compliance costs. Learn about potential 70% time savings, 90% cost reduction, and $76B in recovered tax revenue....

IRS Automation Could Save Americans $191 Billion How a $100M IRS website upgrade could slash $191B off America’s $650B annual tax compliance costs. Learn about potential 70% time savings, 90% cost reduction, and $76B in recovered tax revenu…

In many developing regions, including islands like Roatan, a puzzling economic situation exists: despite the long-term cost-effectiveness of water sanitation plants, they are often not built. This article aims to explore this paradox through mathematical analysis, shedding light on the complex factors that contribute to this seemingly irrational economic decision. The Basic Economics: A Cost Comparison Let's start by comparing the costs of bottled water versus a water sanitation plant:...

Bottled Water Costs 40x More: Why Don’t Poor Areas Have Water Plants? In many developing regions, including islands like Roatan, a puzzling economic situation exists: despite the long-term cost-effectiveness of water sanitation plants, they are often not built. This …

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So for some reason, people will do what you want if you give them money.

How much would I have to pay you to create a bribery fund website where I can donate money to bribe all the politicians in the world to stop paying people to make nuclear bombs and murderbots and instead pay people to make nice robots to cure diseases?

Please share with any developers you know! I'm trying to find the cheapest price!

To comprehensively quantify the equivalent financial benefits of ending war and the combined net present value (NPV) over a human lifetime, we synthesize data and estimates from various analyses. This involves projecting savings and potential gains from reduced military spending, minimized conflict losses, increased productive investments, and enhanced economic growth over an average human lifespan. Assumptions Average Human Life Expectancy: 72 years…...

The Economic Case for Peace: A Comprehensive Financial Analysis - Think by Numbers To comprehensively quantify the equivalent financial benefits of ending war and the combined net present value (NPV) over a human lifetime, we synthesize data and estimates from various analyses. This involves projecting savings and potential gains from reduced military spending, minimized conflict....

Exploring the Probability: Did COVID-19 Spontaneously Arise Near a Virology Lab? As the world grapples with the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, questions about its origins persist. A point of contention has been the proximity of the initial outbreak in Wuhan, China, to the Wuhan Institute of Virology, one of the few labs globally known for conducting research on novel coronaviruses....

There's about a 0.1% Chance that COVID-19 Coincidentally Arose in Nature Near near the Wuhan Institute of Virology - Think by Numbers Exploring the Probability: Did COVID-19 Spontaneously Arise Near a Virology Lab? As the world grapples with the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, questions about its origins persist. A point of contention has been the proximity of the initial outbreak in Wuhan, China, to the Wuhan Institute of Vir...

Can you just mail a check to the government departments that you think are doing a good job?

Circle yes or no

I give 10 percent of my income to charity. You should, too. Regular giving, even in small amounts, can save lives.

Some thoughts on moderation in doing good How much should you do what seems right to you, even if it seems extreme or controversial, vs how much should you moderate your views and actions based on other perspectives?

How much do solutions to social problems differ in their effectiveness? A collection of all the studies we could find. In a 2013 paper, Dr Toby Ord reviewed data that compared about 100 health interventions in developing countries in terms of how many years of illness they prevent per dollar. He discovered some striking facts about the data.

Giving effectively by hacking your psychology This article is about using psychology to make it easier to do good through effective giving. An overview is provided below.

The Reluctant Prophet of Effective Altruism William MacAskill’s movement set out to help the global poor. Now his followers fret about runaway A.I. Have they seen our threats clearly, or lost their way?

How effective altruism went from a niche movement to a billion-dollar force Effective altruism has gone mainstream. Where does that leave it?

Your donations could have 1000x more impact if you use cost effectiveness 🤷 You:"If I donate, how do I know if I'm actually doing good?""Why does cost effectiveness matter when it comes to charity?""How different are the outcomes ...

Peter Singer: how the concept of effective giving could revolutionise global generosity Peter Singer’s book The Life You Can Save lays out an uncompromising case for effective giving by affluent countries … and his organisation of the same name is here to show you how

Effective Altruism in the news!

The Esoteric Social Movement Behind This Cycle’s Most Expensive House Race Carrick Flynn follows a niche philosophy known as “effective altruism” that transformed the philanthropy world. Now it's coming for Washington.