Bejan Invest

The traditional list of the most popular stocks this week with their ratings.
I attached to the post valuation charts for popular assets. The rest of the graphs, along with the ratings, are available via the link along with the Excel file.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/78278364

One for S&P work scenarios. The 2022 correction can also be broken down as momentum. And then it is wave [A] of the zigzag. This means that the current growth is probably the last wave of correction [B]. Such a scenario fits into the macroeconomic model of a mild recession that many are waiting for.
Then, in this scenario, we go through several more phases of small corrections of about 3-6% each until we reach the level of 4300 around March. After that, the next phase of the decline to 3500 will begin in the form of wave [C]. An alternative scenario is growth not to 4300, but to 4600-4800 in spring, and further correction to 3500-3800 in summer. With subsequent growth to new highs in the fall.
Now I think we have completed the local momentum and further we expect a correction in wave 4 or iv to add position before the final move towards the 4300 target.
A decline to the 4100-4000 zone is a good buying opportunity. However, a drop below 4000 cancels the scenario.
Added a couple more alternative scenarios on the weekly chart.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/78169406

As you can see, we have reached the peak of the market or near it. The smart money is waiting for a correction, and the hamsters have already brought the latter into the market. IMHO it's stupid to buy something now. You need to wait for a correction or buy with limit orders.
Of course, smart money is not always right, but the trend is that they know how to enter at the local bottom, when stupid money usually sells at the bottom and buys at spades.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/78076074

The stock had a good report and was revised down from Neutral to Buy+. Broker rating 1.0.
I will buy from 16.50. below this price, there are two open gaps.
There is a strong resistance zone at 15.8, which we confirmed with a rebound. According to the wave pattern, it seems that the 3rd wave is developing. Also, this stock has recently been included in the portfolios of some analytical companies.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/78004760

The traditional list of the most popular stocks for this week with their ranks and ratings.
Archives with charts of price estimates for these shares and Excel files are available for subscribers by this link below.
Not investment advice
All additional files and materials for post:https://www.patreon.com/posts/77961004

Opinions on the recession in the market are divided.
On the one hand, the long-term macro leading indicators point to a recession in the 4th quarter of 2023. Many investment companies and experts agree on this. Adding fuel to the fire are various stock market valuations that point to a bursting bubble like the dot-com bubble of 2000.

On the other hand, recent fundamentals point to a soft landing, i.e. a recession, if it happens, will not have a significant impact and will not lead to a collapse in stocks. There are still those who claim that there was already a recession in 2022 and that “now everything is different.” In fact, in 2022 there was a technical recession and a change in the phase of the business cycle due to an increase in the value of money (raising the rate), which led to the SPX correction in 2022. (A technical recession is when GDP declines for 2 quarters in a row). The problem is that after those recessions, there is always an actual recession, either immediately or after a couple of quarters.

According to current news last week good statistics on GDP came out. A good CPI has also been released, which indicates a decrease in inflation. All this indicates that rates will not rise so much and will be lowered faster. All this positive is reflected in the current market. We are waiting for a decision on the rate on February 1.

My forecast is in force: half a year of growth, then a recession.
The key to everything is unemployment. If it starts to grow, then there will be a recession. So far, the labor market is stable. So far, mass layoffs have only affected the IT sector, which was swollen after covid lockdowns. We are watching.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77950259

Publishing a set of all stocks and ETFs with buy signals, without warnings. These are by far the best stocks I usually to look at. They do not include stocks with high dividend yields because high dividends heavily affect growth and stocks that are in a long fall (downtrend). I'll post them separately later today.
Archives with charts of prices estimates for these shares and Excel files are available for subscribers by this link.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77947804

Fidelity has updated its forecasts for the global phase of the economic cycle for the 1st quarter of 2023.
The previous one can be viewed by the tag
The US is moving closer and closer to recession, but not yet. The EU, Britain and China are in recession. There is no progress in China on the way out of the recession. Developing countries look better, but will also enter recession a little later.
What does this mean for us. We need to prepare for a recession. Avoid investing in risky assets and choose protected assets: gold, bonds, shares of protective sectors. Collect a currency cushion, cut costs, stay out of loans. If possible, do not change the job and strives to keep it. Despite this, in the short term, we can expect an increase in risky assets, which is observed in the rebounds of the crypto market and the shares of IT companies. Probably due to the low base effect
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77781168

According to the waves and technical picture, we have not yet completed the correction. The latest bounce coincided with profit taking at 104 and a rebound in the stock market as a whole. However, the stock's weakness relative to the broader market and its Sell rating tells us that this is not a true reversal. I think we have at least 2 more bottoms. The formation of wave [4] with a further decline is now being completed. If we fix above 170 instead, there will only be one bottom. And if above 190, then I was wrong and the bottom was true. And there will be no new bottom. But this is an unlikely scenario in my opinion.
My tesla trading plan is to buy when it dips at 86 and below. There may be a decrease to 55-45 in order to knock out stops. Depends on the depth of the recession. Guessing the exact price of the bottom will not work here. But there will be an opportunity to buy a good stock cheap. The target is about $500-600 in the next growth cycle from 2025.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77766006

Today I looked at the situation with the most popular assets. Is it worth taking any of this? For example, Tesla ( ) or Apple ( ).
From the list of popular stocks, only 7 companies have a Buy rating. And none of them has a good technical long (buy) setup. although it has a signal from the trading system, it is close to the price high and has a poor risk/reward ratio. I would not enter it.
Good signals to buy on my system and without warnings have 2 stocks: and . Alas, in terms of the strength of the trend, they are weaker than the market. Those. it is more profitable and safer, for example, to buy the S&P 500 than these two stocks.
And I would stick with stocks with an overall score below 2 and a Sell rating. Despite the fact that the system gives a buy setup for some of them. For example, has the worst Sell+ rating.
Previously tried to enter , but had to exit due to the extreme weakness of the stock. Same story with the campaign. The whole problem is in the current phase of the business cycle. Almost all securities with a bad rating are risky. And in the late phase of the cycle, investors love safe assets.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77692638

On October 13, 2022, an impulse (i) was formed. We most likely completed it with a correction (ii) and moved into wave (iii) with a target of 4800 and a cancellation level below 3700. An alternative less likely scenario is an incomplete wave (ii) and then we are in wave B of (ii). Then we can go again to 3500. Cancellation will be below 3500.

At the moment we have completed or are completing the 1st wave of (iii). If completed, then the invalidation level is below 3880. This is the main scenario now. I would enter either from current prices, or wait for a correction to the 3960 area.

If we look globally, we will probably be in wave [v] of 5, which means that by the end of the year we will have wave 4 and a significant correction to 3500 or lower. This drop is likely to coincide with an expected recession at the end or beginning of next year. The growth itself in the wave [v] of 5 up to 3700 may be sluggish, in the form of a diagonal triangle, as it was before the recessions of 2000 and 2008.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77632751

Bitcoin has been able to overcome the 21500 level over the past weeks by closing above the 4th wave. The 25400 level and the 25k-30k zone in wery strong. There are strong levels and 200 average. My scenario: growing to 35-45 at best. Further correction. The depth of this correction depends on the recession. But we will most likely not fall below 18000. If we fall, then for a short time in order to knock out the stops from the longists, as it was in 2020. I expect the main growth in 2025.
There was a short squeeze above 21500 in the short term. Then, most likely, we will see profit taking in the region of 24-25 thousand and a correction with an attempt to reach 30k. I think that we are more likely to correct the falling trend of the crypto market in 21-22 years and this is just a strong rebound associated with a temporary positive in the market for risky assets. The situation is very similar to the 2019 rise after the 2018 crypto market crash.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77585479

In the channel, I post ideas, reviews, entry and exit points based on my trading strategy recommendations.
See revenue performance: https://www.patreon.com/posts/my-trading-77194392

I also publish ratings of the best and worst stocks, technical and wave analysis of popular assets, macro indicators, news, sentiment and more.

I can, if possible, analyze the asset if you write it in the comments to any post in Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/bejaninv

I trade mostly weekly and monthly charts. D1 and below trade rarely, I use it mainly for analysis and accurate entries.

There will be no flooding, empty news, posts for the sake of posts, millions of empty signals. I trade mostly weekly and monthly charts. I hardly trade D1 and below, I use it mainly for analysis.
This is my blog and I keep it primarily for myself. You can repeat my ideas and inputs at your own peril and risk. We are not responsible for any of your financial losses.
Always open to criticism, advice and ideas from his subscribers.

What I do not trade and do not review:
- russian stock market
- sh*tcoins, scam coins, NFTs
- intraday trading, scalping
- make money online

About me:
My name is Bejan. I am a trader, investor and programmer with 10+ years of experience. I develop trading systems and trading robots. I am engaged in fundamental, technical and wave analysis of financial markets.

Trading View: https://www.tradingview.com/u/nomad-ua/

My trading system revenue performance | Bejan Invest on Patreon Official Post from Bejan Invest

Strong growing stock with high rating and good upside. Exit below 84. Target zone 110. But at 105 might be a strong resistance level.Technically, we are in correction. There is a reversal and a pin bar that forms a double bottom with a divergence on D1. Looking at the waves, I see an acceleration typical for wave 3. The current correction might be wave 4. Everything looks good.
Not investment advice
Trading View idea:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FCFS/jMyzIWR6-Bying-FCFS/
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77512487

Not a bad promotion. It is in development. It is better to buy on a correction from 57, where I will do it. But you can take it from current levels if you take it in the long term. Weekly target 77 with exit if we go below 52. Monthly target 145 with exit below 45.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77284558

Head and shoulders reversal at the end of wave 2. I don't really like the layout but technically the move is strong and there is an almost confirmed reversal with a close above wave 4. I bought an SSO ETF and plan to buy more if we go through the bottom update scenario. So far, it looks like a starting impulse for the future wave 3. Unemployment data is expected on Thursday, and if the market likes it, this may be a trigger for further growth.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/77082402

Top 10 stocks for 2023. More in depth overview will be tomorrow

CELH
CTVA
EXLS
FCFS
FN
HUBB
INST
PODD
PYPL
SHOP

Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/76750391

According to the yield curve inversion chart, we probably bottomed out on December 5th. We count 270-300 days and get the approximate start date of the recession. It's around October-November.
The probability of a recession as of November 2023 is 38% according to statista.com. In general, the probability of a recession in 2023 is estimated at 96%.
Nevertheless, SPX seems to have made a local bottom, and by the end of the year it is quite possible to rise to new highs. SPX is also a good level to buy. Also on Monday I will post the top stocks to buy for this year. Stay tuned for posts next week.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/76652376

Latest development looks to me like ending of wave [C] or wave 1 of (5) of wave [C]. Both are equal possible.
I almost sure that globally we are in Ⅰ wave of new long term trend to the new high. So even if we get a new movement down to the 3500 we should no move lower.
I had 2 ideas in my trading plan.
If we just finished wave [C] of irregular ABC correction of wave Ⅰ, I want to enter after close above wave (4). I expect this price would be around 3900.
If we are not finished wave [C] we see new lows as wave (5) develops. In this case, I want to enter by limit order from 3700.
Technically this irregular ABC correction of wave Ⅰ is too short so I expect that wave (5) of wave [C] is not finished yet. I think it should finish at January 2023 of by this year.
Not investment advice
Trading View idea:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/US500/hidB0HMQ-Long-idea-for-S-P-500-Trading-plan/
https://www.patreon.com/posts/76281714

Closed order. Very weak performance. I will reenter after get better confirmation.
SPX seems finished wave 1 or A and get a good up trend but TSLA performing seek so this is not a good sign. Looks like we get longer wave Y in TSLA. Will reenter after strong reversal confirmation after close above 199
Not investment advice
Trading View idea:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/YSiL1jfN-I-am-buying-TSLA/
https://www.patreon.com/posts/76214021

https://www.patreon.com/posts/76199820?pr=true

SPX overview for week 51 of 2022 | Bejan Invest on Patreon Official Post from Bejan Invest

Scenario with wave C is mandatory now. So we probably finish wave 1 and in wave 2 correction now. It may be deep. 3700-3800 is the likely reversal zone for this correction. We also close one of the gap.
Waiting for further development.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/76066014

SPX is in the final phase of the impulse. We have a great double top with a strong reversal and divergence.
There are two scenarios here.
First: Impulse completed. We are at the beginning of a deep correction.
Second: The formation of the 4th wave is underway. Dropping below 3890 will cancel this scenario.
In both cases, I consider a decrease of 3600-3800 to be probable. In the figure, I marked the levels where I will buy.
We have 2 open gaps. According to their location, I think that the correction will be deep to 3600 and maybe even lower.
If we follow the second scenario with sluggish growth, then I have doubts that we will be able to make a correction and go to the final growth before the recession. This means that we will not make a new high and go below 3500. If we go below 3500, then this is a sell-off and a recession.
If that final purchase I will have from 3500. This is a very strong level.
Not investment advice
Trading View idea:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/jL8lkY39-SPX-overview-for-week-50-of-2022/
https://www.patreon.com/posts/75946787

Promotion with excellent rating. Good EPS growth in the future
Is in correction. Probably completes wave 2 of the impulse.
I will take at the current price. Exit if goes below 260
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/75880021

Breakdown of the descending triangle on the weekly chart. I expected this due to market weakness. The news was filed under the bankruptcy of FTX.
Anything below 15 will be redeemed.
What is alarming is that we have for the first time consolidated below the weekly 200. This is bad. Might go down to 10k or less. But below 10k is extremely unlikely. My goal is 300k in 2025-2026.
There will be no growth until the next business cycle. And we're not even in recession yet. Here we go through the recession and then there will be growth
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/75879622

Closed the Chinese MCHI ETF at almost 0. I want to wait for a deeper bottom and a good reversal. So far, it looks extremely weak despite a strong rebound recently.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/75878819

A working scenario for the S&P 500. And for the US market as a whole.
We go for a single high in wave 5 of V (either in wave B or 2 as an alternative to the worst-case scenario that we are already on the impulse of a grand collapse). Then the recession begins and we fall by 50%. It is possible that wave 5 will be a diagonal, which often happens in the last 5 waves. There will be a chance to earn and get out of bad assets on the last growth. Cancel the script if we fall below 3600 but this is unlikely until we update the high.
Not investment advice
https://www.patreon.com/posts/75878498

The best and worst ETFs according to Zack's.
Sorted in ascending Expense Ratio.
In the top: defensive stocks, dividend stocks. Energy and finance sector. Also those. the sector and biotech are quite attractive after the decline.

Outsiders: China, Europe, emerging markets.
Not investment advice
All additional files and materials for post: https://www.patreon.com/posts/75840828