Catharsis of jayanta Ghoshal
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https://openthemagazine.com/columns/93-and-the-good-life/
93 and the Good Life - Open The Magazine IT WOULD BE hard to guess if you saw him but Natwar Singh, former minister of external affairs, has just turned 93. He remains his sprightly self, leading an active life, cheered on by permanent companions Charlie and Pushkin, his two pets. During the day, if he is not out on his walk, you will … ...
It published in organiser
Special issue
They invited journalist not RSS 👍
Their Hindi version is pancha jonnyo
https://organiser.org/2022/05/17/81493/bharat/is-freedom-of-speech-absolute/
Is Freedom of Speech Absolute? The term freedom of expression itself has existed since ancient times dating back to the Greek Athenian era more than
https://openthemagazine.com/columns/shatrughan-sinha-picture-this/
Shatrughan Sinha: Picture This - Open The Magazine Shatrughan Sinha, the Bollywood veteran, and recently anointed Trinamool MP from Asansol in West Bengal, has his task cut out. His new boss, Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee wants investments from Bollywood to pour into West Bengal. And Sinha is her go-to man to ensure a steady stream of Bol...
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Violence in West Bengal has become a major issue again. Home minister Mr. Amit Shah has recently attacked the West Bengal government and Trinamool Congress leadership on the violence issue. Aam Admi Party’s Member of Parliament Sanjay Singh referred Gujrat situation in Rajya Sabha a few days back. Amit Shah was giving his speech on the criminal identification bill. Immediately home minister said, “you were referring Gujrat but you should not go to Bengal, if you go to Bengal, you may be killed, they attacked me by fire balls”. Immediately, Trinamool Congress leaders, Rajya Sabha members shouted and countered Amit Shah’s allegation. Party leaders like Sukhendu Sekhar Roy and others said “you cannot mention about a state in parliament”. Later, the home minister corrected his statement, and the name of West Bengal government, and the chief minister got deleted from the record but the content of Amit shah remains the same. The home minister is going to Kolkata next week and now it is crystal clear that BJP is focusing on West Bengal again, the priority is west Bengal and the main issue is political violence after the election. But why BJP is giving priority to west Bengal again? They lost the assembly election in 2021, they lost the plot. Mamata Banerjee won the election, in spite of that BJP consistently attacking Mamata Banerjee, Trinamool congress from different areas and angles.
I think the main reason behind the BJP’s aggressive strategy is to retain the 18 seats what they got in the 2019 Lok Sabha election. BJP did well in 2019 and surprisingly they got 18 seats, at that time the “Jai Shree Ram” slogan, and the Hindutva agenda worked well in different parts of Bengal, especially in north Bengal. Narendra Modi again and again came to Bengal and gave speeches. Amit Shah was in Kolkata for several weeks but Mamata is a very smart politician, she handled it well and BJP underestimated her and she won the election by using the Bengali identity politics and the welfarism in Bengal.
To counter the welfarism, BJP is trying to use the issue of violence. Now, Mamata Banerjee is ready for the industry conference in this month of April but before that BJP wants to divert the attention from industrial development to the law-and-order situation of Bengal. Law and order situation is a state subject and governor Jagdeep Dhankar is very active on this issue, again and again he is submitting reports. He met Prime Minister and Home minister, even he compare personally to Prime Minister and Home Minister that West Bengal’s situation is like North Korea – Human rights violation is top of the country. Mamata Banerjee of Trinamool Congress is completely denying these facts. TMC’s opinion is “BJP is trying to divert the attention because West Bengal people are very happy with the popular schemes of Mamata Banerjee like Kanyashree, Lakshmi Bhandar, Swasthya Sathi, etc. so, in the health sector, in the education sector, she is giving a lot of subsidise and this welfarism opposition party cannot provide and Mamata is not ready to accept the government of India’s schemes. Now BJP is trying to make the violence issue in the top priority. In West Bengal, the Muslim population is 30%, so in Karnataka, in Gujrat, and even in Orissa this percentage of minority is less than the West Bengal. Even in Bihar, the Muslim population is less than in West Bengal. So, BJP’s Hindutva agenda can get dividend in other states but in West Bengal, to break the Muslim vote is a very difficult proposition for BJP as Congress and left are virtually dead, they cannot take the share of Muslim vote. Although, CPM has made Muhammad Salim as state secretary to get the Muslim vote. BJP is also interested to revive Congress and CPM so that they can cut a portion of the Muslim vote as BJP cannot get the Muslim vote but still today the Muslims are more insecure for BJP and they don’t want to divide their vote because they are also intelligent enough to understand if they are divided then the beneficiary will be BJP. Now the question is in 2024 who will win? In the national level still, Narendra Modi is the most popular leader and in today’s scenario, opposition parties are divided not united, there is no front, and congress has very weak. So, if Mamata Banerjee has to be the fulcrum of the opposition unity, congress also has to revive, and now the scenario is not like that but in the National level, the weakness of the opposition is also very clear. In West Bengal BJP’s organizational strength is not there, BJP’s leadership is in crisis, and BJP’s party workers are not consolidated, district-wise activities are also less, rather they are quarrelling each other in different districts. Central leadership is not very happy with the present status of west Bengal leadership. RSS and the Sangh Parivar were also disappointed with the state leadership. In this scenario, Amit shah is coming again to revive BJP in West Bengal and to start a new inning, a new movement for the target 2024. We should not underestimate Mamata Banerjee and we have to wait to see how Mamata Banerjee is ready to counter the BJP’s offensive and aggressive politics in West Bengal.
lavrov Yadav Patnaik
https://openthemagazine.com/columns/foreign-capital/
‘Foreign’ Capital - Open The Magazine Usually in winter top foreign dignitaries visit Delhi, and that is an old tradition. But this summer is different as the visitors make a beeline for the capital. Why has Delhi suddenly become an interesting destination? From the US under-secretary of state for political affairs to UK Foreign Secreta...
Pakistan is in a state of a flask. It is in a turmoil. Pakistan is now in an anarchy. But what will be the consequence of this melodrama? It is a developing situation. So, a lot of people are asking what is the lithest? What will be the consequence of Imran’s Politics? The great cricketer retired in 1992 and gave the world cup to Pakistan now preparing himself to say “Alvida” adieu.
We have seen Imran khan manage to avoid a no-confidence motion. So immediate the speculation was that, is Imran surviving? Did he manage to overcome the crisis? Is he a happy man now? He tweeted and gave the impression that he is happy that the conspiracy to bring the no-confidence motion has been foiled. But is it the real picture? No! let’s explain.
Imran khan tried to avoid the no-confidence motion because he knows that he lost the majority in parliament. Not only the opposition but inside the coalition of the ruling reign, several allies opposed him and publicly said that they will vote against Imran Khan. So, there is no majority with Imran. It is crystal clear political phenomenon of Pakistan. Imran tried to avoid voting, he should not be exposed, that was the only motto of Imran.
The Speaker of the national assembly is the representative of the ruling party which is Imran’s party (PTI) and the president of Pakistan is also from the ruling party of Imran Khan. So, in both cases, Imran can control his political party men and he did it, that is his success that these two characters one speaker and one president didn’t show the -----------------. They didn’t go with the army publicly. But what happened the late night. When Imran sent the letter to the president saying that avoiding the no-confidence motion he wants to dissolve the parliament so he had to resign and after his resignation, the cabinet secretary of the government sent the letter to all the ministers that Imran khan is no longer Prime minister of the country. It is practically correct because when you have dissolved the parliament, you are not the prime minister.
But in a democratic country like India, after the resignation, if the president has not accepted the resignation till the time, he is the prime minister of the government whether it is a minority or majority that is not the issue because in the constitution there is no nomenclature of minority and majority. These words are also not in the Indian constitution. So, till the next notification of the president’s house, the prime minister remains the prime minister but in Pakistan, the cabinet minister is sending the message that Imran khan is not the prime minister.
The gossip is that the Pakistan army is controlling the show and Pakistan’s army spokesman denied that the military had been involved in or supported ------------- development. This is the first time that the military leaders have openly suggested that they dint support Imran khan’s will to stay in office. To some, it raises the specter of the possibility of military intervention, a familiar pattern in Pakistan’s history if the political crisis drags down. Pakistan army this time doesn’t want to show direct intervention because Nawaz Sharif and Benazir Bhutto both are politically more heavyweight candidates, Imran is not. Pakistan’s economy is in a bad shape, Imran lost his popularity, he is the failed captain of the country, the days are numbered, wall writing is very clear.
So, the Pakistan army’s general Bajwa’s tenure is going to be over in November. He doesn’t want to continue and he is planning to deport some new army chief and he wants to control Pakistan through a caretaker government and an election will take place after 3 months, nominating the caretaker government. The popular belief is that Nawaz sharif’s brother Shahbaz Sharif will be the caretaker Prime minister.
So, this time army’s role is also more planned and they want to show the democratic way. Let’s see what the supreme court will do. Always supreme court of Pakistan has supported the army historically. Showing this patience Pakistan army wants to get the blessing of Americans also because Americans are hostile to Imran and Imran also has issues against America. So, the Pakistan army is more cautious so far as America is concerned. But why Imran is doing it till the last ball? As he said. He is lost. So, why he is not accepting his defeat? And he is not in a democratic country. So, being a martyr, what is his political advantage? In India Vajpayee resigned before the voting. He gave a speech. Here in India, we have electoral democracy, and BJP has gained a lot after the resignation of Vajpayee. But in Pakistan what had happened to Nawaz Sharif and Benazir Bhutto? No political authority in Pakistan, kicked back by the army didn’t come back again. Can Imran Khan change the history of Pakistan? I don’t think so. Imran khan’s political days are numbered but still, Imran khan wants to get public support. Let’s see whether Imran can do something different, what the earlier prime ministers could not.
In November, after the retirement of Gen. Bajwa and CJCSC Gen. Nadeem, the senior-most military officer will be Corps Commander Rawalpindi Lt. Gen Sahir Shamshad Mirza.The other five who could be named to the top position are (listed in order of seniority): Lt. Gen. Azhar Abbas, Lt. Gen. Nauman Mahmood Raja, Lt. Gen. Faiz Hameed, Lt. Gen. Muhammad Aamer, Lt. Gen. Chiragh Haider Baloch.
The incumbent director general of the Inter-Services Intelligence Lt. Gen. Nadeem Ahmad Anjum Sheikh would be seventh on the list.
Who are the front-runners?
1) Lt. Gen. Sahir Shamshad Mirza
Lt. Gen. Sahir Shamshad Mirza is currently serving as Corps Commander Rawalpindi. Previously, he was chief of general staff in the General Headquarters of the Pakistan Army.
As a two-star general, he served as the director general of the military operations, vice chief of general staff as well as commanded the 40 Infantry Division in Dera Ismail Khan. The division has now moved to Okara. He belongs to Mulhal Mughlan in district Chakwal, Punjab.
2) Lt. Gen. Azhar Abbas
Lt Gen Azhar Abbas is serving as chief of general staff at the moment. Prior to his current posting, he commanded the Rawalpindi Corps and was DG joint staff headquarter. He was also the personal secretary to former army chief Gen. Raheel Sharif.
He has further served as general officer commanding the 12 Infantry Division in Murree.
Interestingly, Pakistan’s last five chairmen joint chiefs of staff committee have previously also held the post of general staff.
3) Lt. Gen. Nauman Mahmood Raja
Lt. Gen. Nauman M. Raja is the president of the National Defense University. Previously, he held the positions of corps commander Peshawar and inspector general communication and IT. As a major general, he has served in the ISI as DG analysis as well as general officer commanding of the Infantry division in Miranshah. Lt Gen Raja belongs to Adhwal, Rawalpindi.
Also important to note is that Lt Gen Azhar Abbas, Lt Gen Nauman Mahmood Raja, Lt Gen Faiz Hameed all three belong to the Baloch Regiment.
4) Lt. Gen. Faiz Hameed
Currently serving as corps commander Peshawar, Lt. Gen. Faiz Hameed has served as the DG ISI and adjutant general. As a major general, Gen. Hameed commanded the Pano Aqil Infantry Division and remained DG counter intelligence/ internal security ISI.
When he was a brigadier, he served as the chief of staff of the Rawalpindi Corps with then Lt. Gen. and now COAS Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa. He hails from the Latifal district Chakwal.
Interestingly, only three corps commanders of Peshawar were later elevated to the position of four-star generals in the past – namely, General Sawar Khan, General Aslam Baig and General Ehsan ul Haq.
5) Lt. Gen. Muhammad Aamer
The corps commander Gujranwala Lt Gen Muhammad Aamer belongs to the Artillery. Previously, he has served as the adjutant general. As a major general, he was the GoC of the 10 Infantry Div Lahore & director general staff duties at the COAS secretariat.
6) Lt. Gen. Chiragh Haider Baloch
The corps commander Multan Lt. Gen. Chiragh Haidar Baloch is a Punjabi Baloch and belongs to the Sahiwal, district Sargodha. Previously, he has served as the DG of the joint staff headquarter, DG military training and GoC Infantry Division Jhelum.
7) Lt. Gen. Nadeem Ahmed Anjum Sheikh
The serving DG ISI, Lt. Gen. Nadeem Ahmed Anjum Sheikh has previously served as corps commander Karachi, commandant command and staff college Quetta, inspector general frontier corps Balochistan and brigade commander Waziristan and Kurram Agency.
Who will be COAS and CJCSC come November?
As is tradition, the top candidates are nominated and promoted by the outgoing chief of army staff, out of which, the prime minister then chooses the next COAS and CJCSC.
https://openthemagazine.com/columns/prashant-kishor-gujarat-calling/
Prashant Kishor: Gujarat Calling - Open The Magazine Prashant Kishor recently met Rahul and Priyanka Gandhi again, and now he says that opposition consolidation is not possible without Congress, thus indicating that he could work for the party. The Gandhis might be keen on him as their strategist for the Gujarat election in 2023. It is an important st...
31st March at 6pm
https://twitter.com/theprintindia/status/1509417710655991809?s=24&t=GtnkICR9dYwCdTa9TA7rzA
ThePrintIndia on Twitter “Watch —author of 'Mamata, Beyond 2021', a publication—in conversation with on the release of his book, in ThePrint on 31 March at 6pm. Ghosal gives a chronicle of Bengal’s most fiercely fought polls & Mamata’s role in it.”
https://openthemagazine.com/columns/dissidence-down/
Dissidence Down - Open The Magazine After its victories in the Assembly elections, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is seeing a mellowing of rebel leaders like Vasundhara Raje and Uma Bharti in state units. In Rajasthan, Raje’s supporters are more vocal now about supporting the party. In Uttarakhand, any threats of a split or challe...
https://openthemagazine.com/columns/upset-and-setup/
UPset and SetUP - Open The Magazine Political strategist Prashant Kishor’s previous survey on Uttar Pradesh (UP) consistently demonstrated to the Trinamool Congress supremo Mamata Banerjee that BJP will return to power in the state. That explains why Banerjee didn’t contest any seat in UP despite visiting the state twice in recent...
https://twitter.com/jayanta_ghosal1?s=11
Jayanta Ghosal (@jayanta_ghosal1) | Twitter The latest Tweets from Jayanta Ghosal (). Homo sapiens sapiens-. Delhi
My exclusive reaction / write up why Akhilesh lost the plot in UP !
UP Elections 2022
I’m a journalist and I can’t wear a political jersey. But I’ve been in this trade for the past 40 years and in 2021, when the West Bengal Assembly election took place, I wrote about why BJP lost the plot in the state because the party’s central leadership didn’t understand Bengal’s complex identity and they tried to impose an Uttar Pradesh-style of Hindutva politics.
It’s true that this time there is anti-incumbency against Yogi Adityanath government. After some time, the BJP strategized perfectly with Narendra Modi and Amit Shah, the party’s two big characters, guiding. I think of the duo as electoral machines and it can’t be denied that Mr. Modi remains India’s most popular politician.
There is perhaps a descent in his popularity from the zenith of 2014, but on the other hand there isn’t any alternative leader in the country who can rival him and occupy the main opposition space. In UP’s Yogi-Raj, ant incumbency existed -- as it did in Mulayam Singh’s government, when the popular perception was that there was Yadav Raj, a domination of the Yadav community in bureaucracies and especially the police and the law-and-order situation deteriorated. With Yogi, there was a similar perception that under the saffron-clad chief minister’s role, a Thakur raj was being enacted within the bureaucracy and in society.
At the start of the campaign, Amit Shah told electorates that the ‘vote for BJP is giving a vote for UP so you can get Modi again in 2024’. This was the semi-final, and the final will be 2014. But questions remained because in the years preceding the 2017 riots, voters in western UP had been polarized on religious lines due to a series of communal riots. But this time, there had been a perception that the farmer protests could have a major impact in the region and with Jaat Muslims consolidating behind Akhilesh’s gathbandhan, not with the Congress but with Ajeet Singh’s son, Jayanta -- perhaps a good combination. So perhaps they could impact votes and BJP’s vote bank could weaken, but it didn’t happen.
So why did BJP win then? The first factor is Narendra Modi’s continued cache and secondly the welfare schemes of his party which benefits different electorates in Uttar Pradesh. The reasons for Modi’s victory are gas, connections, jobs, opportunities, different subsidies like the Ujwalla scheme which gives gas connections to those below the poverty line. This is also what Mamata did in West Bengal where her welfare schemes succeeded, and the BJP lost.
The last reason in OBC mobilization. This time BJP didn’t just mobilize ‘Jai Shri Ram’ or Ayodhya politics (which is BJP’s strategy to garner upper caste votes) but also mobilized the OBC votes.
This was not only just BJP’s strategy, but also some other political parties like All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen who developed OBC’s vote (and a leader from Mayawati’s BSP joined her party) and Chandrashekhar’s nascent party who also fought elections but didn’t make adjustments with Akhilesh’s party. And Priyanka and congress were also separated so these three groups created a major impact in UP politics, and it helped BJP win the elections.
So, the division took place properly and the Congress has become marginalized. If they want to combat Modi, Congress has to gain. The BJP’s attempt to make India ‘Congress mukt’ aids BJP -- if Kejriwal wins, it’s a loss for Congress and not for the BJP. It’s a very interesting political dynamic this time we’ve seen in UP.
Addressing the BJP’s three-day council meeting in Lucknow on Sunday December 24th 2006 is the concluding day, Atal Bihari Vajpayee thundered “the situation in Uttar Pradesh is a challenge and we must face it. We have to raise the party again in UP and make it influential. We all know that the road to Delhi goes through Lucknow. A key to changing the map of politics lies in Uttar Pradesh. Even the name ‘Luck-Now’is significant when you break it down. This luck will not come to us on its own we have to grab it.”
His tone was as usual full of encouragement and enthusiasm which measured gaps between the lines to let the effect sink in to the audience and end on a positive note.
Recently, I was reading the book “Uttar Pradesh elections 2022 more than a state at stake” written by Anil Maheshwari. It was in this book that I read this well written paragraph and actually Vajpayee said, “That there was only one mantra to be the recipient of this luck and to be able to hold on to this. For this, we have to walk together, overcome differences, and take on all challenges. There should be no space for factionalism in the party. I want the whole spirit of camaraderie and solidary to back. assembly elections are due in 5 states and this will change the political map of the country. But none more so than the UP elections are coming in the years which will open the doors of new possibilities.”
So, after this result, we can say why UP has become more important. 9 of India’s 14 Prime Ministers have been elected from the constituencies of Uttar Pradesh. The country’s most popular state and most complex political battleground the road to Delhi is said to go through Lucknow. Hence, elections are the most hotly debated and closely watched political contest in the nation. In the 2017 assembly elections the BJP registered a massive bagging 312 seats in the 403 seat assembly. The Samajwadi Party won 47 seats, congress 7, Bahujan Samajwadi party ended up with 19 seats. It is worse alliable. So, the present result analyses what is the scenario of congress. BJP second term win with 274 seats, SP ended up with 124 seats, Congress and BSP 2 and 1 respectively.
https://openthemagazine.com/columns/the-punjab-equation/
The Punjab Equation - Open The Magazine Ahead of the Punjab Assembly election results, there is speculation that if Congress emerges victorious, incumbent Chief Minister Charanjit Singh Channi will take his revenge against Navjot Singh Sidhu for his constant barbs. But in case Congress loses, former Chief Minister Amarinder Singh will be....
Whisperer jayanta Ghosal
‘2024 में ममता बनर्जी को कमतर आंकना भूल साबित होगी’ जयंत घोषाल अपनी नई किताब 'ममता बियॉन्ड 2021' (हार्पर कॉलिन्स इंडिया) में कहते हैं कि ममता बनर्जी ने प्रशांत किशोर को का....
'Underestimating Mamata Banerjee in 2024 would be a blunder' | Book No longer satisfied with her party - Trinamool Congress - being confined to just one state only, the fiery leader has begun working steadily and meticulously on her 2024 national dream.
Mamata Banerjee’s plan to go from Bhabanipur to Bharat Jayanta Ghosal writes: With the BJP waning, West Bengal consolidated and regional parties doing well, she knows that she will be an important factor in politics at the national level
https://openthemagazine.com/author/jayanta-ghosal/
Jayanta Ghosal, Author at Open The Magazine K Chandrashekar Rao is said to have invited and met RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav recently and is also in touch with Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav
https://openthemagazine.com/columns/rahuls-choice/
Rahul’s Choice - Open The Magazine SMRITI IRANI SEEMS rooted in her Amethi Lok Sabha constituency and visits it regularly. But the gossip is that the Gandhi family, particularly Rahul Gandhi, is not keen on contesting from Amethi again. He will fight only from Kerala. Also, Sonia Gandhi is not eager to fight from Raebareli. But Priya...
Whisperer jayanta Ghosal 😊
this is the open magazine and here is the weekly column 'Whisperer'. you can find interesting gossips in this column. most be political gossips. National regional in different flavours. hope you will enjoy it.😊
Mercury Rising: Mamata’s Chance To Be PM Contender In 2024 A new book favourably evaluates the chances of West Bengal chief minister and TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee, as the stormy petrel of Indian politics prepares to position herself as the alternative to Narendra Modi in 2024.
this is jayanta Ghoshal. this is my page.
I welcome all of you. who have already like my page and read my post, reacted I am grateful to you.
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Bangladesh Violence| ভারত বিরোধিতার তাস নাকি হাসিনাকে দুর্বল করার চেষ্টা, কেন বাংলাদেশে হিংসা ? Jayanta Ghosal explanation on Bangladesh Violence issue| বাংলাদেশে অগ্নিগর্ভ পরিস্থিতি। প্রধানমন্ত্রী শেখ হাসিনা কঠোর ব্যবস্থাও নিয়েছেন। কিন্তু .....
Mamta beyond 2021 by Mr Jayanta Ghosal.....
Grab your copy at the nearest book store or order online on Amazon!
Mamata: Beyond 2021 https://www.amazon.in/dp/9354894933?ref=ppx_pop_mob_ap_share
in moments of victory, never forget the vanquished. soon after the cold war ended,flush with confidence in what came to be known as a unipolar moment,the United States pushed the boundaries of the North Atlantic Treaty organisational (NATO) to Eastern Europe.
Russia was peeved for it did not want an alliance. that was conceived as a formation targeted at the Soviet Union coming so close home.Moscow objected. but neither Washington nor Brazil listened. for a generation of main who now ruled Russia lead by Vladimir Putin. the defeat in the cold war was a traumatic experience 'seeing NATO come so close triggered fears '.the fact that nationalism and restoring Russian Pride was Central to there domestic political project only made this more difficult to International internalize.fact that there are not democratic checks and balances within Russia lead it to go on the offensive driven by the calculations of a single leader. but not we standing the merit of it in historical revenges or the ambitions of its leaders.Russia's recent actions have been discriminalizing in nature. its unilateralism is disturbing the Global order. with Heavy military mobilization along Ukraine's border's including Belarus Russia for sent a signal of its aggressive intent.in diplomatic talk with the US there is enough meeting ground for progress on addressing which others concerns regarding risk reduction ,arms control,placement of arms and forces .but Russia wants a guarantee that Ukraine won't join NATO .the west is willing to provide informal Assurances that Ukraine's entry into NATO is not on the agenda but is not willing to shut NATO's door to future expansion in principle. Russia wants the implementation of the Minsk agreements on terms that would Erode farther ukrainian autonomy. kyiv is not willing to conceived.
the outcome is a most warring crisis in Europe. since the end of the cold war.Mr Putin buy a strengthen Bond with China. appears to believe that his case is legitimate . because China is supporting him. the west is weak.this may be the time for rewriting the terms on which cold war ended.so it's a new chapter after Cold War .the US has deployed a novel strategy. it has been preemptively realising Russia can attack Ukraine anytime.so it's a war mongering or it's a preemptive mood to stop the war? to sensitise US Army? or his own security team? or to sensationalize the Global audience?what is the Americans interest ?it has strengthened its Western coalition . it has warned of CVR sanctions if Russia does go ahead with invention.India which he has close ties with both Washington and Moscow. does not want to choose .but any conflict and instability will be bad .not just for Ukraine. but the rest of the world including India .with us Russia talk schedule for this week. diplomacy must be given another chance. but why Americans are doing it?
I was talking to one US diplomat. he was telling me that ,Americans don't want war. they actually reacted. they have not acted. so what they have done? they have done not suo-moto .they have done as reaction of Russian Putin's style of expansionism. but why putting is doing it? the Putin's popularity is decreasing.Russia's economy is descending. domestic situation of Russia is bad . so Russia is doing it . show the world that we have the muscles. last November there is a introduction of diplomats .where put in said,Americans can go for military action but we are ready to combat. in Ukraine There are several Rebel group of Russia. the intelligence report of US says that putin is sponsoring those Rebels from Moscow. there is a group call wauagnar.it is a group of mercenaries.Russia is using this group in Ukraine that is the popular complain of US. but American economy is a better position. US is fourteen times of Russia's GDP. US GDP is 14 times of Russia's GDP.Texas only one state of America is richer than Russia. so this Russia's GDP is half of India's GDP.so for Ukraine America's interest is not much. but Russia's interest is to show their muscle to the global society. so what will be the Indian role? India cannot be either or US wants India's full support to Ukraine. but India cannot go against Russia. India is not dependent on Ukraine in that way. only sunflower seeds we import from Ukraine.there are some defence equipments like turbine, engine what we took from Ukraine. and that deal is over. actually in the old Soviet Union they actually constructed defence manufacturing units in different parts of Soviet Union. after the balkanisation, after the separation those defence factories are still there.that's why India has to take this equipments from Ukraine .but that is not the main headache.
India's theory is that China Russia there is access and India has a good relationship with Russia .so America should concentrate on China.if the hostility with Russia cannot be good. because you have to make balance. you have to keep Russia China Nexus. you have to handle this Nexus. so it is better to make good relationship with Russia to neutralize that Nexus .but Americans standard opinion is China Russia Nexus is always there. and nobody can break it. lot of civilizational connections .so America doesn't bother this chance China Russia Nexus .America cannot be silent on Russia's attitude of expansionism .Americans are also want to give a message to the world especially Europe. because Russia also has two Russia .one is Russia for the Europeans .other Russia for the Asian and neighbouring countries .so that interest is also now not less than the European interest on Europe .so India doesn't want to break that relationship. America doesn't bother on Europe section of European discontent like France or Germany. but Americans they want to go ahead with their own plan of action.
Americans are thinking that putin adventurism is now already disturbed .already he is backtracking. so this Putin's botched job work or not he has miscalculated. but for the common people like we Indians we want peace .so this new battle post cold war between Russia and America and biden's approach towards Russia is not happy hour for India. we want this should resolved. and we can give priority to other development issues.