True Hoops Aus
We provide comprehensive NBA news and opinion on a range of topics.
MIAMI”S CLUTCH HERRO!
In preparation for game 5 and after his stellar performance down the stretch, we have had a look at Herro’s numbers in clutch moments.
These numbers are based on games that were within 5 points.
The sample size for these numbers (20 games, 66 minutes) is not big enough to make a conclusion but are very interesting considering what we have seen this season.
WHAT DO THE NUMBERS SHOW:
The two three’s at the end of regulation in game four was not the first time Herro has shown up at the end of games.
Herro scores .41 points per possession more in the clutch than he does in regulation. Pair that with an 11% increase in True Shooting and you can really understand how special he has been in the big moments this season.
Can Herro and the Heat finish the Bucks?
COULD STEVENS UNLEASH WILLIAMS?
Despite playing few minutes, Williams has given the Celtics plenty of energy off the bench. His impact at both the defensive and offensive end is notable with his efficiency key to his early series success.
NOTABLE STATS:
Minutes per game: 17
Points per Possession: 1.89
TS: 78.8%
11/12 from the field
ASS: 1.6
BLK: 1.6
Would a bump in Williams minutes give the Celtics an added edge to close the series?
DEEP DIVE INTO VICTOR OLADIPO’S RETURN
Since returning to the court we have noticed two key things about Victor Oladipo. Both his quick first step which made him such a weapon in PnR and his elite explosiveness at the rim have not been the same.
We decided to have a look at what the stats show us.
We used:
His first two seasons (2017-19, 111 games) as a Pacer.
Since his return (13 games)
DISCLAIMER: we understand that the sample size is not big but we believe the numbers speak for themselves.
(TABLE IN PICTURE)
WHAT WE FOUND:
This shows an overall drop in efficiency since coming back which is understandable considering the length and severity of the injury.
What I found most interesting is:
He has continued to get to the rim at the same rate (25%, 26%) but there has been a 20% drop in efficiency. This highlights his loss of explosiveness at the rim. He is also attempting 1.25 less free throws per game.
Not being able to explode over screens has reduced his amount of shots in the mid range (-8% since the return). This decrease has seen an increase in 3P attempts. He has increased his 3PA by 9% but has decreased his 3P% from 36% to 30%. This could probably explain his decrease in PPP, which has decreased by .12.
Do you think this is just him recovering from injury or is this the new norm for the former all-star?
AN OFFENSIVE LOOK AT THE HEAT VS KINGS
Nice that we can talk about some actual basketball!
While watching the Heat vs Kings game this morning (UK time) it struck me as a game of two, the starters and the back ups. We decided to break down the offense to explain.
MIAMI:
STARTERS:
1.10 Points per Possession (PPP)
84% True Shooting (TS)
BACK UPS
0.91 PPP
55.19 TS
KINGS:
STARTERS:
0.91 PPP
61% TS
BACK UPS
1.19 PPP
68% TS
WHAT WE SAW:
We have been using these PPP and TS a lot to show efficiency offensively but it really highlighted a few things today.
Miami started off hot with their first 21 points coming off threes and Robinson hitting 4 in the first quarter. The Kings defence could not stop the flow and seemed to always be chasing the ball. Miami kept the ball moving and were finding the open man at ease which led to the 84% true shooting from the starters.
When Dragic left the court all of Miami’s offensive momentum seemed to leave with him. Hero took the ball handling duties and the creation of movement completely left. Both teams went to zone defence which allowed the Kings to adapt better.
The King's bench with Ferrell leading seemed more comfortable playing together. They moved the ball and got out in transition which helped them easily out score the Heat bench.
PLAYERS WHO ARE NOT CURRENTLY IN THE NBA BUBBLE
Most players will begin scrimmage games this Wednesday but not all players have made it into the NBA bubble.
Below is a list of rumoured players (excluding players who opted out or are injured) who are yet to join their teams in the Orlando bubble:
NOP:
Zion Williamson - Left the bubble for a personal reason
SAC:
Harris Barnes - tested positive to covid
LAC:
Marcus Morris
Ivica Zubac
Landry Shamet - tested positive to covid
Montrezl Harrell- Left the bubble for a personal reason
LAL:
Markieff Morris
DEN:
Michael Porter Jr
Monte Morris
HOU:
Luc Mbah a Moute
MIA:
Bam Adebayo
Kendrick Nunn
MIL:
Eric Bledsoe - tested positive to covid
Pat Connaughton
PHI:
Ricky Rubio
Aron Baynes
WHO IS THE 76ers MOST EFFICIENT SCORER?
HOW ARE WE DEFINING THE MOST EFFICIENT SCORERS?
We are using two stats to help us:
POINTS PER POSSESSION / TRUE SHOOTING %
The player needs to have:
Played at least 720 minutes this season
Played at least 50% of their games with current roster
MOST EFFICIENT SCORER FOR THE 76ers?
1. JOEL EMBIID:
PPP: 1.02 || TS: 59%
2. FURKAN KORKMAZ:
PPP: 1.02 || TS: 57%
3. BEN SIMMONS:
PPP: 1.01 || TS: 60%
4. MIKE SCOTT:
PPP: 1 || TS: 53%
5. TOBIAS HARRIS:
PPP: 0.85 || TS: 55%
76ers TEAM STATS:
PPP: 0.86 (23rd)
TS: 56.2% (19th)
WHAT HAVE WE FOUND INTERESTING?
Overall a low efficiency offence, the 76ers only have 4 players (Harris, Simmons, Embiid, Korkmaz) who shot above the league average in True Shooting.
Horford (0.62, PPP), Thybulle (0.89, PPP) and Harris (0.85, PPP) are well below league average in Points per Possession. This speaks to the problems that Brown has had trying to find the right offensive combinations to compliment Embiid and Simmons.
WHO IS THE BROOKLYN NETS MOST EFFICIENT SCORER?
HOW ARE WE DEFINING THE MOST EFFICIENT SCORERS?
We are using two stats to help us:
POINTS PER POSSESSION / TRUE SHOOTING %
The player needs to have:
Played at least 720 minutes this season
Played at least 50% of their games with current roster
MOST EFFICIENT SCORER FOR THE NETS?
1. JARRETT ALLEN:
PPP: 1.15 || TS: 65%
2.DeANDRE JORDAN:
PPP: 1.12 || TS: 68%
3. KYRIE IRVING:
PPP: 1.06 || TS: 59%
4. JOE HARRIS:
PPP: 1.05 || TS: 59%
5. SPENCER DINWIDDIE
PPP: 0.95 || TS: 54%
NETS TEAM STATS:
PPP: 0.89 (24th)
TS: 55% (25th)
WHAT HAVE WE FOUND INTERESTING?
The Nets really fall off in individual efficiency after the top 5. Prince (49%, TS), LeVert (0.69, PPP), Chandler (0.90, PPP) and Temple (50%, TS) are well below league average.
WHO IS THE LA CLIPPERS’ MOST EFFICIENT SCORER?
HOW ARE WE DEFINING THE MOST EFFICIENT SCORERS?
We are using two stats to help us:
POINTS PER POSSESSION / TRUE SHOOTING %
The player needs to have:
Played at least 720 minutes this season
Played at least 50% of their games with current roster
MOST EFFICIENT SCORER FOR THE CLIPPERS?
1. LANDRY SHAMET:
PPP: 1.09 || TS: 59%
2. MONTREZL HARRELL:
PPP: 1.04 || TS: 60%
3. KAWHI LEONARD:
PPP: 1.07 || TS: 58%
4. PAUL GEORGE:
PPP: 1.01 || TS: 58%
5. JaMCYCAL GREEN:
PPP: 0.97 || TS: 55%
CLIPPERS TEAM STATS:
PPP: 0.89 (17th)
TS: 57.4% (8th)
WHAT HAVE WE FOUND INTERESTING?
No surprise that we find play finishers (Shamet, Harrell) at the top. The efficiency of George and Kawhi highlight how productive both of these players are at the offensive end.
Beverley (0.70, PPP) and McGurder (47% TS, 0.83, PPP) are the only Clippers players who are not scoring efficiently this season.
WHO IS THE HOUSTON ROCKETS’ MOST EFFICIENT SCORER?
HOW ARE WE DEFINING THE MOST EFFICIENT SCORERS?
We are using two stats to help us:
POINTS PER POSSESSION / TRUE SHOOTING %
The player needs to have:
Played at least 720 minutes this season
Played at least 50% of their games with current roster
MOST EFFICIENT SCORER FOR THE ROCKETS?
1. BEN McLEMORE:
PPP: 1.13 || TS: 62%
2.JAMES HARDEN:
PPP: 1.12 || TS: 61%
3. DANUEL HOUSE:
PPP: 1.06 || TS: 57%
4. PJ TUCKER:
PPP: 0.99 || TS: 58%
5. ROBERT COVINGTON:
PPP: 1 || TS: 67%
ROCKETS TEAM STATS:
PPP: 1.04 (1st)
TS: 57.8% (5th)
WHAT HAVE WE FOUND INTERESTING?
There is no surprise that a Morey, Di’Antino and Harden lead offence would find itself in the top 5 for two offensive efficiency metrics. Gordon (51%), Rivers (53%) and Westbrook (53%) find themselves below the league average in True Shooting (league average, 54%).
What is more interesting is that Westbrook (0.87) is the only Rockets player who has a Points per Possession number lower than 0.99.
WHO IS THE BOSTON CELTICS MOST EFFICIENT SCORER?
HOW ARE WE DEFINING THE MOST EFFICIENT SCORERS?
We are using two stats to help us:
- POINTS PER POSSESSION / TRUE SHOOTING %
The player needs to have:
- Played at least 720 minutes this season
- Played at least 50% of their games with current roster
MOST EFFICIENT SCORER FOR THE CELTICS?
1. GORDON HAYWARD:
PPP: 1.16 || TS: 59%
2.DANIEL THEIS:
PPP: 1.13 || TS: 62%
3. ENES KANTER:
PPP: 1.03 || TS: 59%
4. KEMBA WALKER:
PPP: 1.03 || TS: 56%
5. JAYSON TATUM:
PPP: 0.99 || TS: 66%
CELTICS TEAM STATS:
PPP: 0.97 (4th)
TS: 56.7% (14th)
WHAT HAVE WE FOUND INTERESTING?
Overall, the Celtics are a very efficient team. Only WIlliams and Smart have a True Shooting percentage lower than the league average (54%). Of the teams starting five, only Brown (0.86) scores below 1 point per possession.
LEAGUE NEWS:
🏀 Thabo Sefolosha (Rockets) will not be joining the team in Orlando.
🏀 In good news for the Rockets, they will replace him with former player Luc Mbah a Moute.
PLAYER MOVEMENT:
Between June 23rd & July 1st, teams have had the opportunity to sign players to play in Orlando. Teams have also taken the opportunity to sign players for next season and convert 2-way players.
Below is a list of players who have signed or been converted.
SIGNED FOR ORLANDO:
Corey Brewer (Kings)
Anthony Tolliver (Grizzlies)
Ryan Broekhoff (76ers)
Justin Adnerson (Nets)
Tyler Johnson (Nets)- waived Theo Pinson
Tyler Zeller (Spurs)
PJ Dozier (Denver)
Jaylen Adams (Trailblazers)
JR Smith (Lakers)
Jarren Grant (Wizards)
Trey Burke (Mavs)
Devon Hall (OKC)
REST:
Justin Patton (Pistons)
Jordan Bell (Cavs) - two year deal
David Nwaba (Rockets) - 2 year deal
Theo Pinson (Knicks) - waived Trier to make room
Cameron Payne (Suns) - 2 year deal
CONVERTED 2-WAYS:
Dean Wade (Cavs)
Luguentz Dort (OKC)
WHICH TEAM WILL WIN THE FINAL? 🏆
IT IS TIME TO VOTE!
QUICK REMINDER:
🏀 AIM: Draft a $100m team to win the NBA 20/21 title
🏀 RULES:
Draft 15 players
Roster can not exceed $101m
Only able to draft 5 players on their first contracts
Snake draft
NOW IT’S YOUR TIME TO VOTE ON WHICH TEAM YOU THINK IS MOST LIKELY TO WIN THE 2020-21 TITLE.
CHECK OUT OUR STORY TO VOTE!
PLAYERS WHO HAVE OPTED OUT OF THE NBA RESTART:
As I am sure all of you are aware the NBA will be returning on the 30th of July.
Players were given the option to opt out of the NBA restart in Orlando. The cut off date for players to notify teams of their decision was the 24th of July.
Below is a list of players that have opted out and the reason given for their decision:
Davis Bertans (Wizards) - unrestricted FA at the end of the season, preserving his body.
Trevor Ariza (Trailbazers) - family custody issues
Kelly Oubre (Suns) - rehab from surgery
DeMarcus Cousins (Lakers/FA) - rehab
W***y Cauley-Stein (Mavs) - expecting baby
Avery Bradley (Lakers) - family concerns surrounding COVID
Wilson Chandler - time with family
De’Andre Jordan - positive COVID test, opted out
Nic Claxton (Nets) - shoulder injury
Which team do you think will be most affected by a player opting out?
IT IS TIME TO VOTE!
QUICK REMINDER:
🏀 AIM: Draft a $100m team to win the NBA 20/21 title
🏀 RULES:
Draft 15 players
Roster can not exceed $101m
Only able to draft 5 players on their first contracts
Snake draft
NOW ITS YOUR TIME TO VOTE ON WHICH TEAM YOU THINK IS MOST LIKELY TO WIN THE 2020-21 TITLE.
CHECK OUT OUR STORY TO VOTE!
13h
IT IS TIME TO VOTE!
QUICK REMINDER:
🏀 AIM: Draft a $100m team to win the NBA 20/21 title
🏀 RULES:
Draft 15 players
Roster can not exceed $101m
Only able to draft 5 players on their first contracts
Snake draft
NOW ITS YOUR TIME TO VOTE ON WHICH TEAM YOU THINK IS MOST LIKELY TO WIN THE 2020-21 TITLE.
$100 MILLION DRAFT: STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN
AIM: Draft a $100m team to win the NBA title in 2020-21
RULES:
Draft 15 players
Roster can not exceed $101 million
Only able to draft 5 players on their first contracts
Snake draft
All players are healthy at the beginning of the season
SUMMARY:
Now that all the teams have been released, it's time to look at how each team would stack up against the rest of the teams in the NBA.
We used statistics that would highlight the teams offensive production and efficiency (Points per Possession, True shooting & Offensive rating) and defensive efficiency (defensive rating & RAPTOR). RAPTOR is a new statistical measurement from which is similar to Box Plus/Minus. It measures the number of points a player contributes to a team's offense and defense per 100 possessions. RAPTOR combines publicly available data together with play by play and player tracking data. It highly values floor spacing, defence and shot creation, which aligns with the NBA teams’ values.
NOW IT'S YOUR TIME!
LOOK OUT FOR OUR STORIES TO VOTE FOR THE TEAM THAT YOU THINK IS THE MOST LIKELY TO WIN THE 2020-21 SEASON!
DRAFTING A $100 MILLION TEAM TO WIN THE 2020-21 TITLE⠀
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After listening to on Dunc’d on, , , and I undertook the challenge of drafting a team to win the title in the 2020-21 season.⠀
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Rules:⠀
The final teams salary must fall between $100-101 million for the season (using 2019-20 salaries).⠀
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Teams have to draft 15 players.⠀
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Teams can only draft 5 players on their first contract.⠀
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All players are healthy as of the start of the 2020-21 season.⠀
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Follow to view the drafted teams and vote for the team that you believe would have the best shot at winning the 2020-21 season.⠀
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Game on!