The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record

Starting tonight, I will be putting my blog (and Twitter feed) on hiatus as I would like to take a break of indeterminate length from both.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/09/blog-hiatus-announcement-and-thank-you.html

Blog Hiatus Announcement and Thank-you Blog Hiatus Announcement and Thank-you I regret to write this, but starting today, I will be putting this blog and my Twitter profile on hi...

My weekly blog post looks at the history and number of Congressional incumbents whose seats voted by double-digits for the opposite party's presidential candidate from 2008 through 2020.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/09/congressional-incumbents-in-opposite.html

Congressional Incumbents in Opposite Double-Digit Presidential Party-won Seats from 2008-2020 Author's Note: I know, the title of this post is overly long and complicated, but I couldn't think of anything better.

This week's blog post provides the last update on the California Gubernatorial recall and explores several counties to watch after polls close

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/09/the-2021-california-gubernatorial.html

This week's blog post details 9 counties (4 Democratic, 5 Republican) with longtime presidential voting streaks that have the potential to end during this decade.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/09/9-longtime-presidential-county-voting.html

9 Longtime (Presidential) County Voting Streaks that Could End in the Next 9 Years 9 Longtime (Presidential) County Voting Streaks that Could End in the Next 9 Years Introduction: One of the most significant post-2020 elect...

This week's blog post briefly explores 3 Congressional bills that were subject to House roll call votes last week, including the John R. Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/08/the-past-two-weeks-told-by-house-roll.html

The Past Two Weeks, Told by House Roll Call Votes, vol. 1, ed. 4 Author's Note: Today's edition of The Past Two Weeks, Told by House Roll Call Votes is short as the U.S. House is currently not in a normal ...

My blog returns tonight with a brief rundown on the status of this year's remaining Gubernatorial and Congressional elections taking place this Fall.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/08/august-updates-on-this-years.html

August Updates on this Year's Congressional and Gubernatorial Elections August Updates on this Year's Congressional and Gubernatorial Elections Introduction: My first regular blog post of the year was a rundown ...

Tonight's blog post applies correlation on California's 2020 Presidential and Proposition county-level results to understand trends in strength and direction of voting coalitions.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/08/correlation-on-support-for-2020.html

Correlation on Support for 2020 California Propositions and the Presidential Vote Author's Note: There will not be a post next Sunday, August 15th, 2021. This blog will resume the following week.

This week's blog post looks into Iowa's 2018 House races and discusses how the results fit into Iowa's post-2012 Republican shift.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/08/a-state-of-temporary-blue-rebound-iowas.html

A State of Temporary Blue Rebound: Iowa's Four House Elections from 2018 A State of Temporary Blue Rebound: Iowa's Four House Elections from 2018 Introduction: I consider Iowa to be a state whose election results...

Tonight's post on my blog is a short update on the California Gubernatorial recall election, including short profiles on notable Question 2 candidates.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/07/july-update-on-california-gubernatorial.html

Tonight's blog post looks at Wisconsin's post-2008 electoral politics through the lens of "Danewaukee vs. Rest of Wisconsin," with a focus on the latter's increased significance to statewide candidates.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/07/a-post-2008-electoral-tale-of-two.html

A post-2008 Electoral Tale of Two Wisconsins: "Danewaukee" vs. "Rest of Wisconsin" A post-2008 Electoral Tale of Two Wisconsins: "Danewaukee" vs. "Rest of Wisconsin" Introduction: I like to summarize Wisconsin's post-2008 e...

My blog returns tonight to examine electoral trends from Colorado's 2014 U.S. Senate election, where Cory Gardner (R)'s victory became an aberration in a state that has rapidly trended blue since.

Colorado's Last Red Hue: What Drove Cory Gardner's 2014 Statewide Win? Colorado's Last Red Hue: Examining Cory Gardner's 2014 Senate Victory Introduction: Last month, I posted a Tableau-made bubble diagram on Tw...

Despite coming three days late, this week's blog post is finally out! Today I present another edition of The Last Two Weeks, Told by House Roll Call Votes, which looks at 6 House votes from June 16th through June 29th.

The Past Two Weeks, Told by House Roll Call Votes, vol. 1, ed. 3 Author's Notes: This post was originally supposed to be published on the evening of 6/27, but due to facing a busy weekend due to an unexpec...

For those of you who follow my blog, I apologize for this late announcement, as things were unexpectedly busy for me this past weekend. The 6/27 blog post will be coming out this coming Wednesday at 8pm PST, a change that will not be permanent.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/

The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record Discussing, analyzing, and evaluating public policy and politics using quantitative and qualitative methods.

(2/2)



Part 2 features statistics and data visualizations representing aggregate viewership data from my blog's first year, including the top 10 most viewed posts.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/06/first-anniversary-special-part-2.html

First Anniversary Special, Part 2: Viewership Statistics from Year 1 First Anniversary Special, Part 2: Viewership Statistics from Year 1 Click here if you would like to return to Part 1 of the first annivers...

(1/2)



As promised, the special two-part 1st anniversary blog post is here! Part 1 briefly reflects on my blog's first year and outlines plans for Year 2.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/06/first-anniversary-special-part-1_0283665338.html

The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record Discussing, analyzing, and evaluating public policy and politics using quantitative and qualitative methods.

There will not be a regular post on my blog coming out tonight. But, tune in next Sunday for a special two-part blog post to celebrate my blog's first anniversary!

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/06/no-post-tonight-662021.html

No Post Tonight (6/6/2021) No Post Tonight (6/6/2021) On last week's post, I indicated that the special two-part first anniversary post would be released on Thursday, ...

Tonight on my blog, I discuss recent "Vaccine Lottery" programs and potential limitations of such programs to increase vaccination rates among groups with significant levels of vaccine hesitancy.

The Viability and Limitations of "Vaccine Lotteries" Author's Notes: After publishing last week's content, I remembered that in early March, I indicated that the results of the 1 post/week pilo...

Tonight on my blog, I discuss the resolution of NY-22's 2020 House results, and provide an update on 2021's and 2022's special Congressional elections, including the recently announced specials in FL-20 and OH-15.

Update on 2021-2022 Special Congressional Elections Update on 2021-2022 Special Congressional Elections Introduction: Between the New Year and President Biden's inauguration, I discussed regul...

This week's new blog post details the number of House and Senate incumbents who have lost general elections (including runoffs) by double-digits from 2010 to 2020, and discusses what the trend reveals about American electoral politics.

Congressional Incumbents Who Lost by Double-Digits from 2010-2020 Congressional Incumbents Who Lost by Double-Digits from 2010-2020 Introduction: One of the most notable things I learned for the first time ...

In tonight's brief blog post, I summarize major findings from the April 2021 jobs report and discuss several external policy implications.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/05/interpreting-april-2021-jobs-report.html

Interpreting the April 2021 Jobs Report Interpreting the April 2021 Jobs Report Introduction: With vaccination rates increasing and the Coronavirus's daily spread at the lowest lev...

My weekly blog post looks at the recall movement against Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy (R), which could result in an unprecedented two gubernatorial recall elections in the same year, and the 5th in American history.

Alaska and 2021's Other Gubernatorial Recall Movement Alaska and 2021's Other Gubernatorial Recall Movement Introduction: Since January, I have created two posts about the California Gubernato...

Tonight's blog post is the second of a new recurring series, The Last Two Weeks, Told by House Roll Call Votes, that examines 8-10 noteworthy House votes in a chosen 2-week timespan.

The Past Two Weeks, Told by House Roll Call Votes, vol. 1, ed. 2 Author's Note: While thinking of ideas for this blog post, I considered re-visiting content from old posts and/or the ideas from those posts...

My weekly blog post looks at Alabama's 2016 Congressional elections, with a focus on one district whose 2016 results became a major anomaly relative to its post-2008 electoral behavior.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/04/a-look-at-alabamas-seven-congressional.html

A Look at Alabama's Seven Congressional Elections from 2016 A Look at Alabama's Seven Congressional Elections from 2016 Introduction: The 2016 House elections overall may have been a relative wash, bu...

My blog returns tonight with a look at 10 post-2010 Congressional districts that were perennially competitive throughout the last decade.

The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record Discussing, analyzing, and evaluating public policy and politics using quantitative and qualitative methods.

Featuring data visualizations, my weekly blog post examines and analyzes the 2010 California Attorney General election to determine its implications for this year's likely recall election against Governor Newsom.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/03/californias-2010-ag-election-and-its.html

The Implications of California's 2010 AG Election for 2021 Author's Notes: In observance of the Easter holiday, there will not be a blog post coming out next Sunday. This blog will resume the followi...

(2/2)



In addition, I updated my previous post on 2021's Gubernatorial and special House elections to include dates for all of the scheduled special House elections and brief information about TX-6's special election.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/01/2021s-special-congressional-and.html

2021's Special Congressional and Gubernatorial Elections Author's Note: This blog post was originally supposed to be published at 8pm PST on 1/14/2021, but was bumped up to 8:30pm to give extra ti...

(1/2)



As the 2021-22 special House election season begins, I provide a brief history of past pre-midterm special House elections whose results (in hindsight) correlated with electoral trends from the corresponding midterm.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/03/a-history-of-pre-midterm-bellwether.html

A History of Pre-Midterm Bellwether Special House Elections Author's Notes: In addition to this post coming out today, I modified the original 2021 elections post , since all of this year's special el...

My blog post of the week looks back at significant legislation and roll call votes from the House from the last two weeks, and what to expect in the next week.

The Past Two Weeks, Told by House Legislation and Roll Call Votes The Past Two Weeks, Told by House Legislation and Roll Call Votes Introduction: This past week, the U.S. reached the one-year anniversary of...

Tonight comes my first blog post under the new pilot project. With California Governor Gavin Newsom facing an assertive recall movement, I turn the clock back to 2006, and using data visualizations, examine the electoral performances of Arnold (Schwarzenegger) and Steve (Poizner), the last two Republicans to win California.

Arnold and Steve 2006: A Quantitative Analysis of The Last Republicans to Win California Author's Note: A word of warning: today's post is going to be one of the most complex and intricate posts I have created on this blog, and ...

While there is no regular blog content coming out tonight, I am introducing a two-month adjustment to the blog's posting schedule as a pilot program, and may or may not return to the old schedule afterwards. More below:

Pilot Program: New Two-Month Posting Schedule Adjustment Pilot Program: New Two-Month Posting Schedule Adjustment Hello all readers and followers, Hope you've all been staying healthy, safe, and ha...

I do not have a blog post coming out tonight. The next edition will be published this coming Thursday, March 4th.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/

The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record Discussing, analyzing, and evaluating public policy and politics using quantitative and qualitative methods.

My newest blog post provides a brief overview of some of the notable socio-economic programs from the new "Golden State Stimulus" relief package and their respective fiscal appropriations.

What's in the California COVID relief bill? What's in the California COVID relief bill? Introduction: As of the moment of this blog post's publication, Congress continues to negotiate...

The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record updated their business hours.

Tonight's short blog piece provides an update on the ongoing recall movement against California Governor Gavin Newsom (D).

February 2021 Update on the Newsom Recall Movement February Update on the Newsom Recall Movement Introduction: Last month, I looked into the recall movement against California Governor Gavin ...

Should have posted this earlier, but there will be no blog post tonight. I will return with a new post this coming Sunday, February 21st, at 8pm PST. Until then, feel free to take a look at what has been published already:

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/

The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record Discussing, analyzing, and evaluating public policy and politics using quantitative and qualitative methods.

In tonight's short blog post, I discuss the results and aftermath of Donald Trump's second impeachment trial, including the implications for the Republican Party and how else Trump could be held accountable.

Trump's Second Impeachment in a Larger Context Trump's Second Impeachment in a Larger Context Yesterday afternoon, the Senate unexpectedly decided to end the second impeachment trial agai...

Tonight's short blog post explores how House members voted on House Resolutions 27 and 72*, with a focus on House Republicans who joined House Democrats in voting for either or both bills.

(*H. Res. 27 is the 2021 Trump Impeachment Article, while H. Res. 72 stripped Rep. Greene (R, GA-14) of House committee assignments. )

How Did House Members Vote on House Resolutions 24 and 72? How Did House Members Vote on House Resolutions 24 and 72? Introduction: The new Congress has only been in session for just over a month, an...

Tonight's blog post looks ahead to the 2022 Senate elections by discussing current and potential retirements among the Class 3 group of Senators.

https://parmeterpoliticspolicyrecord.blogspot.com/2021/02/looking-to-class-3-how-many-2022-senate.html

The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record Discussing, analyzing, and evaluating public policy and politics using quantitative and qualitative methods.

In tonight's blog post, I use correlational analysis to determine which county-level socio-demographic, socio-economic, and political variables were most associated with support for Mississippi's 2020 flag referendum.

The Parmeter Politics and Policy Record Discussing, analyzing, and evaluating public policy and politics using quantitative and qualitative methods.

Tonight's post on my blog discusses the current situation with Donald Trump's second impeachment, especially Senators to watch during the ongoing trial and current alternative proposals to impeachment.

Trump Impeachment 2.0: The Current Situation, Senators to Watch, and Proposed Alternatives Trump Impeachment 2.0: The Current Situation, Senators to Watch, and Proposed Alternatives Introduction: On January 13, 2021, Donald Trump (...