DFL Academy

18.1.2023 - Wednesday ✨Latest Crypto & Financial Market Recap 📈

On Wall Street, all eyes were on US companies quarterly earnings reports. Both the Dow and the S&P 500 ended the day lower on reports that Goldman Sachs had a bigger-than-expected 69% drop in fourth-quarter profit.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 391.76 points, or 1.14%, to 33,910.85, the S&P 500 lost 8.12 points, or 0.20%, to 3,990.97 and the Nasdaq Composite added 15.96 points, or 0.14%, to 11,095.11.

Earlier in the day, data released showed that China’s GDP for 2022 beat expectations although annualized GDP growth for 2022 of 3% was far below the official target of about 5.5%. Excluding a 2.2% expansion after Covid-19 first hit in 2020, it was the worst showing in nearly half a century.

In foreign exchange market, the Dollar weakened against the Japanese Yen yesterday amid expectations of a possible policy shift by the Bank of Japan. Japan's decades of ultra-low interest rates may reach a turning point today, when the BOJ decision is expected following a two-day meeting.

While other central banks have been raising interest rates to control inflation, the BOJ has kept long-term rates around zero. A shift could possibly end its stimulatory policy called yield curve control (YCC). If the Japanese central bank unwinds its yield curve control, it is likely that Japanese yields would increase further. That could make Japanese debt more attractive compared with U.S. Treasuries after accounting for foreign exchange hedges. Japanese investors may then sell U.S. treasuries or be less likely to purchase them.

USD/JPY extended recent weakness and was last down 0.3%, with market participants braced for sharp moves when the BOJ concludes its meeting.

The Dollar Index rose 0.2%. As a result, gold prices on Tuesday fell from a more than eight-month peak hit in the previous session on hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve would adopt a less aggressive approach to rate hikes going forward.

Spot gold fell 0.7% to $1,904.87/oz after hitting its highest since the end of April on Monday. COMEX gold futures settled down 0.6% at $1,909.90/oz. Spot silver slipped 2.1% to $23.88/oz.

In the energy market, crude oil prices rose on hopes that China’s re-opening could increase fuel demand. Brent crude oil futures rose $1.46, or 1.7%, to settle at $85.92, while WTI crude climbed 32 cents, or 0.4%, to $80.18.

In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin has so far gained over 26%, gaining 22% in the past week alone, putting in on course for its best month since October 2021. It was last up 0.6% at $21,367.37. Ether has also risen, by 29% this year.

Since the beginning of 2023, green shoots have begun to grow in the crypto space. On the back of lower-than-expected inflation data from the US and the hints of fewer monetary tightening measures by the Federal Reserve, the entire cryptocurrency market capitalization has again risen above $1 trillion.

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2023 年 01 月 18 日 - 星期三✨最新的加密和金融市场回顾🥰

在华尔街，所有的目光都集中在美国公司的季度收益报告上。 道琼斯指数和标准普尔 500 指数均收低，原因是有报道称高盛第四季度利润下降 69% 超出预期。

道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 391.76 点或 1.14% 至 33,910.85，标准普尔 500 指数下跌 8.12 点或 0.20% 至 3,990.97，纳斯达克综合指数上涨 15.96 点或 0.14% 至 11,095.11。

当天早些时候，公布的数据显示，尽管 2022 年 3% 的年化 GDP 增长率远低于约 5.5% 的官方目标，但中国 2022 年的 GDP 超出预期。 不包括 2020 年 Covid-19 首次袭击后 2.2% 的扩张，这是近半个世纪以来最糟糕的表现。

外汇市场方面，由于市场预期日本央行可能调整政策，美元兑日元昨日走弱。 日本数十年的超低利率今天可能会达到一个转折点，届时日本央行将在为期两天的会议后做出决定。

虽然其他央行一直在提高利率以控制通胀，但日本央行一直将长期利率维持在零附近。 转变可能会结束其称为收益率曲线控制 (YCC) 的刺激政策。 如果日本央行放松对收益率曲线的控制，日本收益率可能会进一步上升。 考虑到外汇对冲后，这可能会使日本国债比美国国债更具吸引力。 日本投资者随后可能会出售美国国债，或者不太可能购买美国国债。

美元/日元延续近期弱势，最新下跌 0.3%，市场参与者为日本央行会议结束时的大幅波动做好准备。

美元指数上涨 0.2%。 受此影响，周二金价从前一交易日触及的八个多月高点回落，因市场寄希望于美国联邦储备理事会(美联储/FED)未来将采取较为温和的加息方式。

现货黄金在周一触及 4 月底以来的最高点后下跌 0.7% 至 1,904.87 美元/盎司。 COMEX 黄金期货收跌 0.6% 至 1,909.90 美元/盎司。 现货白银下跌 2.1% 至 23.88 美元/盎司。

在能源市场，原油价格上涨，因寄希望于中国重新开放可能会增加燃料需求。 布伦特原油期货上涨 1.46 美元，或 1.7%，收于 85.92 美元，而 WTI 原油上涨 32 美分，或 0.4%，至 80.18 美元。

在加密货币方面，比特币迄今已上涨超过 26%，仅在过去一周就上涨了 22%，有望创下 2021 年 10 月以来的最佳月度表现。最新上涨 0.6% 至 21,367.37 美元。 以太币今年也上涨了 29%。

自 2023 年初以来，加密领域开始萌芽。 在美国低于预期的通胀数据和美联储货币紧缩措施暗示减少的背景下，整个加密货币市值再次升至1万亿美元以上。

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17.1.2023 - Tuesday ✨Latest Crypto & Financial Market Recap 📈

Stock markets, excluding those in the US, extended the new year rally yesterday as optimism over the global economy, inflation coming under control and China's reopening offset concerns the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might temper its super-sized stimulus policy at a pivotal meeting this week. U.S. markets were closed yesterday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, a national holiday.

All eyes were on the Bank of Japan. The Japanese Yen climbed to its highest since May over rumors the BoJ might hold an emergency meeting on Monday as it struggles to defend its new yield ceiling in the face of massive selling, sending USD/JPY to a seven-month low.

The BoJ's official two-day meeting ends tomorrow, and speculation is rife it will make changes to its yield curve control policy given the market has pushed 10-year yields above its new ceiling of 0.5%.

The BoJ bought almost 5 trillion yen ($39.12 billion) of bonds last Friday in its largest daily operation on record, yet 10-year yields still ended the session up at 0.51%. Early yesterday, the bank offered to buy another 1.3 trillion yen of JGBs, but the yield stuck at 0.51%.
The BoJ's uber-easy policy has acted as a sort of anchor for yields globally, while dragging down the Japanese Yen. Were it to abandon the policy, it would put upward pressure on yields across developed markets and most likely see the Yen surge further.

The Dollar has been undermined by falling U.S. bond yields as market participants bet the Federal Reserve can be less aggressive in raising rates, given inflation has clearly turned the corner.

USD/JPY fell to a more than seven-month low on Monday, as market sentiment was dominated by expectations that the BoJ would abandon or make further tweaks to its yield control policy. In the meantime, the Dollar Index recovered from a 7-month low to 102.3.

Commodities which had rallied last week, dipped on Monday. The drop in yields and the Dollar benefited gold, which jumped 2.9% last week, but slipped 0.2% to $1,916/oz overnight.

Crude oil prices slid but held near the year's highs as a rise in Covid cases clouded the prospects for a surge in demand as China reopens its economy. Brent crude fell 25 cents, or 0.29%, to $85.03 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 14 cents, or 0.18%, at $79.72 a barrel.

Cryptocurrencies have rallied strongly since the start of 2023, as speculators increasingly anticipate the Federal Reserve will ease up on its aggressive rate hikes to tame inflation. The higher rates are, the more attractive it is for investors to park their money in an interest-bearing savings account rather than putting it into risky assets.

Bitcoin broke through the $21,000 mark early yesterday from a low of $16,000 at the start of the year. Its market capitalization surged almost 25% in a week to $21,069 from around the $17,000-mark one week ago.

Ethereum too is up 20% in a week to $1,564, hitting a two-month high over the weekend. Solana made the biggest gains with a 62% rise in the week, to $23.31.

On Monday, the entire market capitalization stood at $1.02 trillion, a rise of around 1.2% in 24 hours, according to data from Coingecko.

The capital inflow into the cryptocurrency sector comes amid renewed investor confidence that the US Federal Reserve is succeeding in taming inflation without upsetting the economy into a recession.

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2023 年 01 月 17 日 - 星期二✨最新的加密和金融市场回顾🥰

由于对全球经济的乐观情绪、通胀得到控制以及中国重新开放抵消了对日本银行 (BoJ) 可能在关键会议上缓和其超大规模刺激政策的担忧，除美国股市外的股市昨日延续了新年涨势 本星期。 美国市场昨日因国定假日马丁路德金纪念日休市。

所有人的目光都集中在日本央行身上。 日元攀升至 5 月以来的最高水平，因有传言称日本央行可能在周一召开紧急会议，因为它在面对大量抛售的情况下努力捍卫其新的收益率上限，导致美元/日元跌至七个月低点。

日本央行为期两天的官方会议将于明天结束，鉴于市场已将 10 年期国债收益率推高至 0.5% 的新上限之上，市场普遍猜测其将改变其收益率曲线控制政策。

日本央行上周五购买了近 5 万亿日元（391.2 亿美元）的债券，这是有记录以来最大的单日操作，但 10 年期国债收益率仍收于 0.51%。 昨天早些时候，该银行提出再购买 1.3 万亿日元的日本国债，但收益率停留在 0.51%。
日本央行的超级宽松政策在某种程度上成为了全球收益率的锚点，同时拖累了日元。 如果放弃该政策，将给发达市场的收益率带来上行压力，日元很可能进一步飙升。

美元受到美国债券收益率下降的影响，因为市场参与者押注美联储在加息方面可能会不那么激进，因为通胀已经明显好转。

美元/日元周一跌至七个多月低点，市场情绪主要是预期日本央行将放弃或进一步调整其收益率控制政策。 与此同时，美元指数从 7 个月低点回升至 102.3。

上周上涨的商品周一下跌。 收益率和美元的下跌使黄金受益，上周上涨 2.9%，但隔夜下跌 0.2% 至 1,916 美元/盎司。

原油价格下跌，但仍保持在年内高位附近，因为新冠肺炎病例的增加给随着中国重新开放经济而需求激增的前景蒙上了阴影。 布伦特原油下跌 25 美分或 0.29% 至每桶 85.03 美元，而西德克萨斯中质原油下跌 14 美分或 0.18% 至每桶 79.72 美元。

自 2023 年初以来，加密货币强劲反弹，因为投机者越来越多地预计美联储将放松激进的加息以抑制通胀。 利率越高，投资者将资金存入生息储蓄账户而不是投资于风险资产的吸引力就越大。

比特币昨天早些时候从年初的低点 16,000 美元突破了 21,000 美元大关。 其市值在一周内从一周前的 17,000 美元左右飙升近 25% 至 21,069 美元。

以太坊也在一周内上涨 20% 至 1,564 美元，周末创下两个月高位。 Solana 本周涨幅最大，上涨 62%，至 23.31 美元。

根据 Coingecko 的数据，周一，整个市值达到 1.02 万亿美元，24 小时内上涨约 1.2%。

资本流入加密货币领域之际，投资者对美联储正在成功抑制通货膨胀而不会使经济陷入衰退的信心重燃。

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16.1.2023 - Monday ✨Latest Crypto & Financial Market Recap 📈

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at their highest levels in a month last Friday, with US bank shares rising following their quarterly results, which kicked off the earnings season.

Giving support to the market Friday was the University of Michigan's survey which showed an improvement in U.S. consumer sentiment, with the one-year inflation outlook falling in January to the lowest level since the spring of 2021.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 112.64 points, or 0.33%, to 34,302.61, the S&P 500 gained 15.92 points, or 0.40%, to 3,999.09 and the Nasdaq Composite added 78.05 points, or 0.71%, to 11,079.16.

The S&P 500 closed at its highest level since December 13, while the Nasdaq closed at its highest level since December 14. For the week, the S&P 500 gained 2.7% and the Dow rose 2%. The Nasdaq increased 4.8% in its biggest weekly percentage gain since Nov. 11.

In FX markets, the Japanese Yen extended its surge last Friday, on speculation the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will revise its ultra-loose monetary policy, while the Dollar edged up against most other major currencies, rising off of a seven-month low.

USD/JPY fell 1.06% to 127.92 yen, adding 2.4% from last Thursday’s close after the Yomiuri newspaper said BoJ officials would review the side effects of the central bank's yield curve control policy at their meeting this week. The BoJ is the only major central bank in the G7 clinging to stimulus while most central banks globally are deep into rate-hiking campaigns. But signs of stickier inflation and a possible rise in Japan's mostly stagnant wages have convinced some market participants that its yield curve control could be revised, or even abandoned, as early as this week, opening the door to a stronger Yen.

The Dollar Index hit its lowest level since June 6 last week following the US CPI report, firming up expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its interest rate hikes. EUR/USD was last down 0.2% at 1.0828, easing off a fresh nine-month high. GBP/USD rose 0.12% to 1.22275.

In commodities, signs of softening inflation in the U.S. helped oil bulls, though rising crude oil prices on their own might ultimately lead to higher inflation. WTI, or West Texas Intermediate, crude for February delivery closed at $80.07 last Friday having rose 8.4% for the week, and completely erasing losses from a week ago.

Brent crude for March delivery closed at $85.49 last Friday. The intraday peak for Brent was $85.34.
For the week, Brent gained 8.5%, making up for all of the previous week's drop, like WTI.

Gold neared a nine-month high last Friday, approaching the key $1,950/oz resistance. Gold for February delivery on COMEX closed at $1,923.35/oz - up $22.90, or 1.2%, on the day. Its session high of $1,925.25 was the loftiest for a front-month contract since the April 25 peak of $1,935.50.

The spot price of gold settled at $1,920.13 - up $23.22, or 1.2%, on the day. Spot gold’s intraday peak was $1,921.97- also the highest since April 25.

Gold has rallied over the past three months as receding inflation drove bond yields and the Dollar lower on expectations that the Federal Reserve will be a lot less aggressive with rate hikes this year and might even wrap its monetary tightening well before the end of 2023.

In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin spiked above the $21,000 mark on Saturday. This is the first time since November 8, 2022, that Bitcoin has crossed $20,000 and following a 11-days of gains.

Bitcoin rose 5.58% to $21,229 over the weekend, adding $1,286 to its closing on Friday. It is up 27.6% from the year's low of $16,496 on January 1. Similarly, Ether surged 7% to $1,598.45 on Saturday, adding $148 to its previous close.

The current surge in cryptocurrencies value comes after the U.S. headline CPI dropped to 6.5% in December, down from 7.1% in November. Last week’s surge in price action is certainly encouraging, rising hope of that the absolute bottom is in for crypto prices.

U.S. markets will be closed today for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday.

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2023 年 01 月 16 日 - 星期一✨最新的加密和金融市场回顾🥰

标准普尔 500 指数和纳斯达克综合指数上周五收于一个月以来的最高水平，美国银行股在公布季度业绩后上涨，为财报季拉开序幕。

周五为市场提供支持的是密歇根大学的调查，该调查显示美国消费者信心有所改善，1 月份的一年通胀前景降至 2021 年春季以来的最低水平。

道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 112.64 点或 0.33% 至 34,302.61，标准普尔 500 指数上涨 15.92 点或 0.40% 至 3,999.09，纳斯达克综合指数上涨 78.05 点或 0.71% 至 11,079.16。

标准普尔 500 指数收于 12 月 13 日以来的最高水平，而纳斯达克指数收于 12 月 14 日以来的最高水平。本周，标准普尔 500 指数上涨 2.7%，道指上涨 2%。 纳斯达克指数上涨 4.8%，创下 11 月 11 日以来的最大单周百分比涨幅。

外汇市场方面，由于猜测日本央行 (BoJ) 将修改其超宽松货币政策，日元上周五延续涨势，而美元兑大多数其他主要货币小幅上涨，脱离七个月低点 .

在读卖新闻称日本央行官员将在本周会议上审查央行收益率曲线控制政策的副作用后，美元/日元下跌 1.06% 至 127.92 日元，较上周四收盘上涨 2.4%。 日本央行是七国集团中唯一坚持刺激措施的主要央行，而全球大多数央行都在深入加息。 但通胀上升的迹象以及日本基本停滞不前的工资可能上涨的迹象使一些市场参与者相信，其收益率曲线控制可能最早在本周进行修改，甚至放弃，从而为日元走强打开大门。

上周美国CPI报告公布后，美元指数触及6月6日以来的最低水平，强化了美联储将放缓加息步伐的预期。 欧元/美元最新下跌 0.2% 至 1.0828，从九个月新高回落。 英镑/美元上涨 0.12% 至 1.22275。

在大宗商品方面，美国通胀走软的迹象帮助了石油多头，尽管原油价格上涨本身可能最终导致更高的通胀。 WTI，即西德克萨斯中质原油，上周五 2 月份交割的原油收于 80.07 美元，本周上涨 8.4%，完全抹去了一周前的跌幅。

上周五 3 月份交割的布伦特原油收于 85.49 美元。 布伦特原油的盘中最高价为 85.34 美元。 本周，布伦特原油上涨 8.5%，弥补了前一周的所有跌幅，与 WTI 一样。

黄金上周五接近九个月高点，逼近 1,950 美元/盎司的关键阻力位。 COMEX 2 月份交割的黄金收于 1,923.35 美元/盎司 - 当天上涨 22.90 美元，或 1.2%。 盘中高点 1,925.25 美元是近月合约自 4 月 25 日高点 1,935.50 美元以来的最高点。

黄金现货价格收于 1,920.13 美元 - 当天上涨 23.22 美元，或 1.2%。 现货黄金盘中最高为 1,921.97 美元，也是自 4 月 25 日以来的最高水平。

金价在过去三个月中上涨，原因是通胀回落推动债券收益率和美元走低，原因是市场预期美联储今年加息的力度将大大降低，甚至可能在 2023 年底之前结束货币紧缩政策。

在加密货币方面，比特币周六飙升至 21,000 美元以上。 这是自 2022 年 11 月 8 日以来，比特币在连续 11 天上涨后首次突破 20,000 美元。

比特币周末上涨 5.58% 至 21,229 美元，周五收盘价上涨 1,286 美元。 它比 1 月 1 日的年内低点 16,496 美元上涨了 27.6%。同样，以太币在周六飙升 7% 至 1,598.45 美元，较前一收盘价上涨 148 美元。

在美国 12 月份总体 CPI 从 11 月份的 7.1% 降至 6.5% 之后，加密货币价值目前出现飙升。 上周价格走势的飙升无疑令人鼓舞，人们越来越希望加密货币价格达到绝对底部。

美国市场今天因马丁路德金纪念日休市。

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2023 年 01 月 13 日 - 星期五✨最新的加密和金融市场回顾🥰

隔夜华尔街，CPI 数据公布后股市震荡，标准普尔 500 指数一度下跌 0.8%，随后反弹。

由于汽油和其他商品价格下跌，美国 12 月消费者价格出现 2½ 年来首次下跌，表明通胀处于持续下降趋势。

不过，另一项劳动力市场数据显示，每周首次申请失业救济人数为 205,000 人，低于预期的 215,000 人。 许多市场参与者正在寻找劳动力市场疲软的迹象，以此作为通胀放缓的信号。

道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 216.96 点或 0.64% 至 34,189.97，标准普尔 500 指数上涨 13.56 点或 0.34% 至 3,983.17，纳斯达克综合指数上涨 69.43 点或 0.64% 至 11,001.11。

今晚，美国多家大型银行将公布财报，为标普 500 指数公司的第四季度财报季拉开序幕。

美元指数触及 6 月初以来的最低水平 102.07，随后小幅回吐，尾盘下跌 0.873%，欧元兑美元上涨 0.89% 至 1.0851。 美元/日元下跌 2.56% 至 129.18，而英镑/美元当日上涨 0.6% 至 1.2215。

数据公布后原油价格上涨。 WTI 原油收盘上涨 1.27% 至每桶 78.39 美元，布伦特原油收盘收于 84.03 美元，当日上涨 1.65%。

在美国通胀显示出降温迹象提振美联储放缓加息的押注后，昨晚金价上涨超过 1%，徘徊在 1,900 美元/盎司附近。 现货黄金上涨 1.1% 至 1,896.30 美元/盎司，从 1,901.40 美元/盎司 - 自去年 5 月以来的最高水平回落。 COMEX 黄金期货收涨 1.1% 至 1,898.80 美元/盎司。 现货白银上涨 1.8% 至 23.85 美元/盎司。

比特币上涨 6% 至 19,005 美元，较前一收盘价上涨 1,075 美元。 因此，比特币从今年的低点 16,496 美元上涨了 15.2%。 以太币隔夜也上涨 3.06% 至 1,432.8 美元，较前一收盘价上涨 42.6 美元。

多年来，以太币几乎无法梦想挑战它的老大哥比特币。 现在，它的雄心壮志可能变得更加现实。 但是，在最重要的“合并”软件升级之前，第二大加密货币正在从比特币手中抢走市场份额，如果开发人员在未来几天将其推出，该软件升级可能会大幅降低其以太坊区块链的能源使用量。

根据数据平台 CoinMarketCap 的数据，比特币的主导地位，或其在加密货币市场市值中的份额，已从今年 6 月中旬的 47.5% 的峰值下滑至 39.1%。 另一方面，以太币已从 16% 攀升至 20.5%。

虽然以太币距离超越比特币成为头号加密货币还有很长的路要走，但这种逆转被狂热爱好者称为“翻转”。 它正在迎头赶上。 2021 年 1 月，比特币占据了 72% 的至高地位，而以太币仅占 10%。

至于价格，一个以太币现在价值 0.082 比特币，接近 2021 年 12 月的高点，远高于 6 月份的 2022 年低点 0.049。

合并预计在经过几次延迟后于昨天进行，可能会导致区块链的更广泛使用，从而有可能推高以太币的价格——尽管在反复无常的加密市场中没有什么是确定的。

以太坊构成了互联网的大部分“Web3”愿景的支柱，其中加密占据中心舞台，为涉及加密分支的应用程序提供动力，例如去中心化金融和不可替代的代币——尽管这个被大肆宣传的梦想仍未实现。

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12.1.2023 - Thursday ✨Latest Crypto & Financial Market Recap 📈

The S&P 500 closed up more than 1% while the Dollar was little changed overnight as market participants bet that tonight’s U.S. inflation data would allow the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of interest rate hikes.

The December's CPI is expected to show annual inflation at 6.5%, down from 7.1% in November, and current expectations are for a 25-basis points rate increase at the February meeting after a 50 basis point hike in December.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 268.91 points, or 0.8%, to 33,973.01, the S&P 500 gained 50.36 points, or 1.28%, to 3,969.61 and the Nasdaq Composite added 189.04 points, or 1.76%, to 10,931.67.

While the Dollar Index was virtually unchanged, EUR/USD briefly hit a seven-month high at 1.0754 but held within a narrow range as traders avoided big moves ahead of the inflation data. USD/JPY rose to 132.45, while GBP/USD was last trading at 1.2147, down 0.07% on the day.

In crude oil futures, WTI crude settled up 3.05% at $77.41 per barrel and Brent settled at $82.67, up 3.21% on the day. Both benchmarks had settled at their highest levels since December 30, with WTI up for a fifth consecutive day for the first time since October and Brent up for a third day in a row for the first time since December.

Crude oil shrugged off early losses to rally 3% as hopes for an improved global economic outlook and concern over the impact of sanctions on Russian crude output outweighed a massive surprise build in U.S. crude stocks.

In precious metals, gold prices held steady after touching an eight- month peak last night as speculators positioned themselves ahead of U.S. inflation data that could influence the Federal Reserve's policy path.

Spot gold rose to $1,886.59/oz and closed steady at $1,877.51/oz. COMEX gold futures settled up 0.1% at $1,878.9/oz. Spot silver fell 0.9% to $23.40/oz.

In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin is currently trading at the $17,962, up 2.31% from last night. Ether followed BTC’s direction, trading flat at around $1,391, up almost 3.6%.

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2023 年 01 月 12 日 - 星期四✨最新的加密和金融市场回顾🥰

标准普尔 500 指数收盘上涨超过 1%，而美元隔夜几乎没有变化，因为市场参与者押注今晚的美国通胀数据将使美联储放慢加息步伐。

预计 12 月份的 CPI 年通胀率为 6.5%，低于 11 月份的 7.1%，目前的预期是继 12 月份加息 50 个基点后，2 月份的会议上加息 25 个基点。

道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 268.91 点或 0.8% 至 33,973.01，标准普尔 500 指数上涨 50.36 点或 1.28% 至 3,969.61，纳斯达克综合指数上涨 189.04 点或 1.76% 至 10,931.67。

虽然美元指数几乎没有变化，但欧元/美元短暂触及七个月高点 1.0754，但由于交易员在通胀数据公布前避免大幅波动，因此保持在窄幅区间内。 美元/日元上涨至 132.45，而英镑/美元最后交易于 1.2147，当日下跌 0.07%。

原油期货方面，WTI 原油收盘上涨 3.05% 至每桶 77.41 美元，布伦特原油收盘收于 82.67 美元，当日上涨 3.21%。 两个基准均收于 12 月 30 日以来的最高水平，WTI 自 10 月以来首次连续第五天上涨，布伦特原油自 12 月以来首次连续第三天上涨。

由于对全球经济前景改善的希望和对制裁对俄罗斯原油产量影响的担忧盖过了美国原油库存意外大幅增加的影响，原油摆脱了早盘下跌的影响，上涨了 3%。

贵金属方面，金价在昨晚触及八个月高点后保持稳定，因为投机者在可能影响美联储政策路径的美国通胀数据之前做好准备。

现货黄金涨至1886.59美元/盎司，收盘持稳于1877.51美元/盎司。 COMEX 黄金期货收涨 0.1% 至 1,878.9 美元/盎司。 现货白银下跌 0.9% 至 23.40 美元/盎司。

在加密货币方面，比特币目前的交易价格为 17,962 美元，较昨晚上涨 2.31%。 以太跟随 BTC 的方向，持平于 1,391 美元左右，上涨近 3.6%。

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2023 年 01 月 11 日 - 星期三✨最新的加密和金融市场回顾🥰

由于市场参与者在明日公布的 12 月消费者价格数据之前做好准备，华尔街隔夜收高，在早盘波动后企稳。这将是本周最大的数据点。

预计美国消费者价格指数 (CPI) 将显示 12 月的总体通胀率为 6.5%，而 11 月为 7.1%。

道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 186.45 点或 0.56% 至 33,704.1，标准普尔 500 指数上涨 27.16 点或 0.70% 至 3,919.25，纳斯达克综合指数上涨 106.98 点或 1.01% 至 10,742.63。

虽然标准普尔指数收于当日盘中高点附近，但仍远低于周一盘中高点，这是自 12 月中旬以来的最高水平。

上周五公布的美国 12 月就业数据显示，工资通胀放缓的迹象进一步证实了通胀已经见顶，这可能为美联储放慢加息步伐提供了余地。但市场参与者在昨晚美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 露面之前一直感到焦虑，他在瑞典的一次演讲中基本上避免谈论加息。

美元兑主要货币几乎没有变化，徘徊在七个月来的最低水平附近。美元/日元上涨 0.26% 至 132.21，尽管数据显示日本通胀加速回升可能促使日本央行更快收紧货币政策。

由于美国政府预测明年全球石油消费量将创纪录且美元徘徊在七个月低点，原油价格走高。 WTI 原油收盘上涨 0.66%，收于每桶 75.12 美元，布伦特原油收于 80.10 美元，当日上涨 0.56%。

贵金属方面，现货金上涨 0.3% 至 1,877.01 美元/盎司。 COMEX 黄金期货上涨 0.29% 至 1,878.10 美元/盎司。

昨天美联储主席杰罗姆鲍威尔发表讲话后，比特币（BTC）保持稳定。 BTC 当天上涨 1.3% 至 17,430 美元，创三周新高。以太币 (ETH) 上涨近 1.2% 至 1,336.80 美元。

美元持续疲软可能对比特币来说是个好兆头，有助于它在最近突破 50 天简单移动平均线 (MA) 的看涨突破基础上进一步发展。自上周晚些时候因短期势头改善而突破 50 日均线以来，比特币已经出现了上行跟进。短期突破使下一个阻力位接近 18,400 美元。

卡尔达诺是最大的输家，在过去 7 天的交易中上涨 24.53% 后，在亚洲下跌 3.28% 至 0.3152 美元。目前交易价格为 0.3227 美元。 BNB 也下跌 1.32% 至 274 美元，此前有报道称美国司法部正在加强对 Binance Global 的调查，Binance Global 是该代币的发行人和全球最大的加密货币交易所。它已经恢复到 277.55 美元的交易价格。

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10.1.2023 - Tuesday ✨Latest Crypto & Financial Market Recap 📈

Wall Street gave up broad earlier gains to finish mixed ahead of an expected speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday and inflation data on Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 112.96 points, or 0.34%, to 33,517.65, the S&P 500 lost 2.99 points, or 0.08%, to 3,892.09 and the Nasdaq Composite added 66.36 points, or 0.63%, to 10,635.65.

Money markets were pricing in a 25% chance of a half-point U.S. rate hike in February, down from around 50% a month ago. Market participants will look to Thursday's CPI data for further clues as to the Fed's next move.

The Dollar slid to a seven-month low against the Euro overnight as traders bet recent economic data would prompt the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of interest rate hikes, while riskier currencies benefited from China reopening its borders.

EUR/USD was up to its highest level since June 9 at 1.0761 before settling at 1.0728, adding to last Friday's 1.17% increase. GBP/USD surged to as high as 1.2195, building on Friday's 1.5% rally, while the Swiss Franc jumped 0.82% to 0.9167, its strongest since early March. AUD/USD rose to $0.6950, hitting its highest level since August 30, while NZD/USD rallied to as high as 0.6416.

The moves continued the trend lower for the Dollar, which in the final three months of 2022 posted its biggest quarterly loss in 12 years. That was driven mainly by market participants' belief that the Fed will not raise rates beyond 5%, from its current range of 4.25%-4.50%, as inflation and growth cool.

The Fed raised interest rates by 50 basis points last month after delivering four consecutive 75 basis-point hikes last year, but said it was likely to keep interest rates higher for longer to tame inflation.

Two separate reports last Friday painted a picture of an economy that is growing and adding jobs, but where overall activity is tilting into recession territory, prompting traders to sell the dollar against a range of currencies.

Last Friday's monthly employment report showed a bigger-than-expected increase in the number of workers and a slowing in wage growth - welcome news for the U.S. central bank.

A report from the Institute for Supply Management showed activity in the service sector contracted for the first time in 2-1/2 years in December.

The Dollar Index was at a 7-month low, last down 0.81% at 103.033. The index tumbled 1.15% last Friday as investors shifted into riskier assets.

Gold prices cooled slightly after hitting an eight-month high on Monday, as a weak Dollar's boost was offset by Federal Reserve officials reiterating their aggressive stance against inflation. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $1,870.45/oz after hitting its highest since May 9 earlier in the session at $1,881.5. COMEX gold futures settled up 0.4% at $1,877.80/oz. Spot silver fell 0.5% to $23.69/oz.

WTI crude recently rose 1.41% to $74.81 per barrel and Brent was at $79.73, up 1.48% on the day.

Bitcoin has languished in the $16,000 trading range for almost three weeks, but Monday saw a break-out which spiked to $17,406. Ethereum, also saw a reversal, up 4.26% to $1,344.74. According to Coinbase Institutional report author David Duong, the market outlook for Bitcoin suggests that a successful push past the $17,100 mark might put the digital asset on track toward the next technical level around $17,800.

Of the top 10 blue-chip cryptocurrencies, Cardano performed strongest and saw a hike of almost 17% to as high as $0.346 before easing to $0.316.

The entire cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by 3% in the past 24 hour. However, developments in the coming weeks may affect the price of cryptocurrencies.

Market participants will be looking at the upcoming payout from the Mt Gox crypto-exchange rehabilitation plan settlement. Traders will also be monitoring an upcoming report on US inflation. The Federal Reserve's monetary tightening polices have been a big driver in pushing Bitcoin's price down by 64% in the last year.

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2023 年 1 月 10 日 - 星期二 ✨最新的加密和金融市场回顾🥰

在美联储主席杰罗姆鲍威尔周二发表预期讲话和周四公布通胀数据之前，华尔街放弃了早些时候的涨幅，收盘涨跌互现。 道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 112.96 点或 0.34% 至 33,517.65，标准普尔 500 指数下跌 2.99 点或 0.08% 至 3,892.09，纳斯达克综合指数上涨 66.36 点或 0.63% 至 10,635.65。

货币市场定价美国 2 月加息半个基点的可能性为 25%，低于一个月前的约 50%。 市场参与者将关注周四的 CPI 数据，以寻找有关美联储下一步行动的更多线索。

由于交易员押注近期的经济数据将促使美联储放慢加息步伐，美元兑欧元汇率隔夜跌至七个月低点，而风险较高的货币则受益于中国重新开放边境。

欧元/美元升至 6 月 9 日以来的最高水平 1.0761，然后收于 1.0728，继上周五 1.17% 的涨幅后又上涨。 英镑兑美元飙升至 1.2195，延续周五 1.5% 的涨势，而瑞士法郎上涨 0.82% 至 0.9167，为 3 月初以来的最高水平。 澳元兑美元升至0.6950美元，触及8月30日以来的最高水平，而纽元兑美元上涨至0.6416的高位。

此举延续了美元的走低趋势，美元在 2022 年的最后三个月录得 12 年来最大的季度跌幅。 这主要是由于市场参与者认为随着通胀和经济增长降温，美联储不会将利率从目前的 4.25%-4.50% 提高到 5% 以上。

美联储在去年连续四次加息 75 个基点后，上个月将利率提高了 50 个基点，但表示可能会在更长时间内保持较高利率以抑制通胀。

上周五两份不同的报告描绘了一幅经济正在增长和就业增加的图景，但整体活动正向衰退区域倾斜，促使交易员抛售美元兑多种货币。

上周五的月度就业报告显示，工人人数增幅高于预期，工资增长放缓——这对美联储来说是个好消息。

供应管理协会的一份报告显示，服务业活动在 12 月份出现了 2-1/2 年来的首次收缩。

美元指数跌至 7 个月低点，最新下跌 0.81% 至 103.033。 由于投资者转向风险较高的资产，该指数上周五下跌 1.15%。

金价在周一触及八个月高点后小幅降温，原因是美联储官员重申他们对通胀的激进立场抵消了疲软美元的提振。 现货黄金上涨 0.3% 至 1,870.45 美元/盎司，盘中早些时候触及 5 月 9 日以来的最高点 1,881.5 美元。 COMEX 黄金期货收涨 0.4% 至 1,877.80 美元/盎司。 现货白银下跌 0.5% 至 23.69 美元/盎司。

WTI 原油近期上涨 1.41% 至每桶 74.81 美元，布伦特原油价格为 79.73 美元，当日上涨 1.48%。

比特币在 16,000 美元的交易区间徘徊了近三周，但周一出现突破，飙升至 17,406 美元。 以太坊也出现逆转，上涨 4.26% 至 1,344.74 美元。 根据 Coinbase Institutional 报告作者 David Duong 的说法，比特币的市场前景表明，成功突破 17,100 美元大关可能会使该数字资产步入下一个技术水平 17,800 美元左右。

在前 10 大蓝筹加密货币中，Cardano 表现最强，上涨近 17% 至 0.346 美元，随后回落至 0.316 美元。

整个加密货币市值在过去 24 小时内增长了 3%。 然而，未来几周的发展可能会影响加密货币的价格。

市场参与者将关注即将到来的 Mt Gox 加密货币交易修复计划结算的支出。 交易员还将关注即将发布的美国通胀报告。 美联储的货币紧缩政策是推动比特币价格在去年下跌 64% 的一大推动因素。

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