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Odds, accuracy and the Risk Reward Ratio in the binary option market.
A good binary options trading strategy is naturally one that brings profits on a regular basis.
There are a few tasks to be performed before deciding on your trading strategy.
Break-even
Since break-even is achieved when the total amount won equals the total amount lost, it can be calculated using the following formula;
0 = Winning% X Average Return – (1 – Winning %) X Average loss
For example:
Say the traded amount is constant (same every time), average return 70%, and the loss is 100% of the betting amount therefore;
0 = Winning% X 70% – (1 – 70%) X 100% therefore; Winning % = 59%
With a strategy which has an average return of 70%, you will need a winning accuracy of 59% or more to be profitable in the binary options trading industry.
Expectancy
A more general way to analyse any binary options trading strategy is computing its expectancy. This is a single number that combines the winning percentage with the average return. This number tells immediately if the trading strategy is worth pursuing or not. If the expectancy is greater than 0, you should consider it, if it’s not – move on from it.
Formula is:
Expectancy = Average Return x Winning trades % – (1 – Winning trades %)
Say; binary options trading strategy has average return 70% and 65% accuracy
Expectancy = 70% X 65% – (1 – 65%) ; Expectancy = 0.105. The strategy should be considered sound.
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