University of Options
University of Options teaches people how to trade conservatively and carefully trade options. We share trades with low risk and high returns.
Our little rooster just crowed for the first time. I’m so proud of that little man!
Thought of the Week
Having the things you most desire has little to do with hard work. There is a saying "If you love what you do you will never work a day in your life. We succeed at the things we like doing. It is easier to think big when you are happy. Find a way to love what you do or find something new. Both are possible if you will commit.
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We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
SOP: Weekly Market Analysis and Forecast
Objective
To analyze the market trends and provide a forecast for the upcoming week based on available information.
Key Steps
Review Market News: Check for any significant news or events that may impact the market.
Identify Key Data Releases: Look for any important economic indicators or reports scheduled for the week.
Analyze Charts: Examine the charts to identify support and resistance levels.
Determine Price Range: Based on the analysis, predict the price range for the week.
Monitor Fed Member Speeches: Keep track of any speeches or statements by Federal Reserve members.
Stay Updated: Continuously monitor the market for any new developments that may affect the forecast.
Cautionary Notes
Avoid making hasty decisions based on limited information.
Be cautious of sudden market movements that may invalidate the forecast.
Double-check all data and analysis for accuracy before finalizing the forecast.
Tips for Efficiency
Use charting tools and software for accurate technical analysis.
Create a checklist to ensure all key steps are followed systematically.
Collaborate with team members or experts for a more comprehensive analysis and forecast.
Link to Loom
https://www.loom.com/share/9fdde7196b1c4a2481a44188dea56c3a
****** THIS IS EXCITING!*******
Over the last 7 days I have take 84 trades and won 78 of them for a 92.8% WIN RATE! To share this success we have launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
https://www.loom.com/share/9fdde7196b1c4a2481a44188dea56c3a
RateWatch August 19 Thought of the WeekHaving the things you most desire has little to do with hard work. There is a saying "If you love what you do you will never work a day in your life. We succeed at the things we like doing. It is easier to think big when you are happy. Find a way to love what you do or find someth...
Thought of the Week
We all have only so much energy. Imagine a ray of energy coming from you. This energy, when misdirected toward what you DO NOT want, jealousy, hate, anger, revenge, or anything you fear, is wasted and will dissipate. This is why the phrase "do not waste your energy" is used. If you point this energy toward your target, whatever that is will be created for you."
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We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
Understanding Bond Market Trends and News Impact
Recent Bond Market Movement
Bonds pulled back slightly after testing above 4%.
Psychological significance of the 4% level.
Pulled back to Fibonacci 61.8 level around 3.92.
Expected Range and Potential Movement
Likelihood of staying between 4% and Fibonacci level.
Possibility of ranging in the current area if closing below Fibonacci level.
Upcoming News Impact
No news on Friday or Monday.
Significant news starting on Tuesday.
MBS Chart Analysis
Similar movement to bonds, upward trend line observed.
Potential movement towards a specific blue line.
Importance of holding certain levels for stability.
Upcoming Key Economic Indicators
PPI, CPI, retail sales, Philly Fed data next week.
Anticipating market reactions to major news releases.
Conclusion
Market likely to remain sideways until next week's news.
Caution advised due to the potential impact of upcoming economic indicators.
Closing
Wishing everyone a great weekend.
Link to Loom
https://www.loom.com/share/2f78a85e096c42019d6a19bb5650cdfa
****** THIS IS EXCITING!*******
Over the last 7 days I have take 84 trades and won 78 of them for a 92.8% WIN RATE! To share this success we have launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
https://www.loom.com/share/2f78a85e096c42019d6a19bb5650cdfa
RateWatch August 9 Thought of the WeekWe all have only so much energy. Imagine a ray of energy coming from you. This energy, when misdirected toward what you DO NOT want, jealousy, hate, anger, revenge, or anything you fear, is wasted and will dissipate. This is why the phrase "do not waste your energy" is used. If yo...
May I please brag for a second?
Most of you have followed me for a long time and supported the University of Options. I am super proud to announce that we made the INC 5000 list of the fastest-growing companies in America. Here is an email that just went out. Thank you so much for your support!!
From One-Man Show to INC 5000! 🎉
We have awsesome news!
University of Options has made the INC 5000 list of the fastest-growing companies in America! We ranked 466 overall, 37 in financial services, and 77 in California!
What started as a one-man show with the simple goal of creating a community of like-minded traders has now become a powerhouse in trading education. We are beyond grateful for the UOO members who made this possible!
To celebrate, we’re offering $466 off on all purchases until Saturday, August 10th
Whether you’re interested in mastering Options or Futures, now is the perfect time to jumpstart your trading journey.
Ready to take advantage of this offer? Book a call HERE :-)
Dan Rawitch
CEO and Founder
University of Options
Thought of the Day
Beliefs are just opinions you have held on to for a long time. Many develop as a child, and you do not know when or from whom a belief began. You need to know that beliefs govern our actions. You will make mistakes following old, tired, and misguided beliefs. Examine yours and keep only those that serve you.
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We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
Understanding Market Trends and News Updates
Market Analysis
Discussing range-bound trading based on Fibonacci levels.
Testing Fibonacci 61.8 and 50 levels.
Anticipating market movements based on Fibonacci levels.
Specific Market Focus: MBS (Mortgage-Backed Securities)
Analysis of MBS market trends.
Importance of clearing Fibonacci levels.
Potential price movements based on historical data.
Recent News Impact
Reviewing recent economic indicators:
Building permits, inventories, manufacturing PMI, services sector, new home sales, and crude inventories.
Highlighting impact on market sentiment and potential market movers.
Upcoming News Events
Previewing upcoming economic indicators:
GDP, PCE prices, durable goods, consumer sentiment.
Noting the potential impact on market volatility and trading strategies.
Conclusion
Emphasizing caution in trading due to potential market volatility.
Encouraging awareness of upcoming news events for informed decision-making.
Link to Loom
https://www.loom.com/share/cf2560c10ffe44a28b8fa398114db0a2
****** THIS IS EXCITING!*******
Over the last 7 days I have take 84 trades and won 78 of them for a 92.8% WIN RATE! To share this success we have launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
https://www.loom.com/share/cf2560c10ffe44a28b8fa398114db0a2
RateWatch July 24 Thought of the DayBeliefs are just opinions you have held on to for a long time. Many develop as a child, and you do not know when or from whom a belief began. You need to know that beliefs govern our actions. You will make mistakes following old, tired, and misguided beliefs. Examine yours and keep...
Thought of the Day
Failure is not something winners are familiar with. It is not that winners do not fail because, in the strict sense of the word, of course, they fail. We all fail. The point is that I never will succumb to the emotions driven by failure. That would be letting failure win, and I will not let failure beat me, Get up, Reass, stop crying, and get back in there!!!
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We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
Market Analysis and Predictions by Dan Rawitch
Testing Fibonacci 61.8 Line
Thorough testing of the Fibonacci 61.8 line at 4.15 level.
Bounced off slightly, indicating difficulty breaking through.
Short sellers may be cautious, potential for a bounce.
Concerns with MBS
Struggling to surpass the 99.95 line for about 6-7 days.
Market sentiment may shift if unable to break through.
Potential support level nearby, but a test of the bottom is likely if breakthrough doesn't happen soon.
Bond Market News
Recent news not favorable for bonds.
Philly Fed data showed a significant miss, causing concern.
Initial jobless claims slightly higher, indicating a trend of increasing claims.
Continuous jobless claims also on the rise, which is positive for bonds.
Market Outlook
Expectation of staying range-bound in the near future.
Limited expectations for significant market movement in the absence of new data.
Closing Thoughts
Mixed signals in the market with both positive and negative indicators.
Uncertainty regarding bond market performance in the coming days.
Link to Loom
https://www.loom.com/share/1173c67db2984b619f397bb79e2c5119
****** THIS IS EXCITING!*******
We launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
https://www.loom.com/share/1173c67db2984b619f397bb79e2c5119
RateWatch July 18 Thought of the DayFailure is not something winners are familiar with. It is not that winners do not fail because, in the strict sense of the word, of course, they fail. We all fail. The point is that I never will succumb to the emotions driven by failure. That would be letting failure win, and I wil...
Hey everyone! I'm doing a live Q&A tomorrow at 3pm Pacific! This is your chance to get all your burning trade-related questions answered!
Register here and see you tomorrow!
Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: Learn About Options Trading!. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar. Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: Learn About Options Trading!. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar.
Hey guys! I'm currently going live to talk about the awesomeness of options trading! Join me here
Elastic Webinar Elastic Webinar live room
Thought of the Day
Defensiveness is one of the worst qualities a person can have. Defensive people cannot learn, waste too much energy trying to look right and look stupid while they point fingers. Always find your role in a set back. Admit it, own it and learn from it. You will find more people want to do business with you and be your friend
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We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
Understanding Market Trends and Concerns
Introduction
Dan Roach discussing market trends on a Friday morning.
Confusion in Market Reactions
PPI came in worse than expected, but market rallied.
Similar reaction with strong CPI data.
Concern about market's lack of realization.
Interest Rates and Bonds
10-year down to 4.19.
Pressure to reach Fibonacci 62% level at 4.15.
Indicator showing 75% bearish sentiment.
PPI Data Analysis
Core PPI higher than expected at 0.4.
Futures market predicts 93% probability of Fed rate cut.
Non-core level twice the expected amount.
Market Behavior
Bonds reacting positively despite negative PPI data.
Michigan consumer sentiment slightly better than expected.
MBS at 99.65, facing resistance level at 99.95.
Conclusion
Caution advised due to market volatility.
Potential for rejection at current resistance level.
Acknowledgement of groggy report delivery.
Link to Loom
https://www.loom.com/share/2547897030f94e198c3fd103243695ee
****** THIS IS EXCITING!*******
We launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
https://www.loom.com/share/2547897030f94e198c3fd103243695ee
RateWatch July 12 Thought of the DayDefensiveness is one of the worst qualities a person can have. Defensive people cannot learn, waste too much energy trying to look right and look stupid while they point fingers. Always find your role in a set back. Admit it, own it and learn from it. You will find more people want...
I'm going live in an hour to talk all about Options trading and how lucrative it can be!
Register here and I hope to see you soon!
Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: Learn About Options Navigator!. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar. Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: Learn About Options Navigator!. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar.
Thought of the Day
Life, like tides, has a natural Ebb and Flow. When the tide is in, things look and feel great. When the tide is low, the trash, seaweed and rocks can be seen. It is the same ocean but takes on different looks. Your life is the same. When the tide is low, you will not always help things by running around and looking for change. Times like this are easy to bear if you do nothing but trust that the tide will come back, as it always does.
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We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
Understanding the PCE Numbers and Market Reaction
Introduction
Dan discusses the release of the PCE numbers and its impact on the market.
Surprise in Bond Market
Bonds did not react as expected despite the bond-friendly data released.
PCE and Personal Spending
PCE dropped significantly from 0.3 to 0.1, a massive drop.
Personal spending missed expectations, coming in at two-tenths instead of three-tenths.
Other Economic Indicators
Chicago PMI came in strong, potentially offsetting other factors.
Michigan inflation numbers were better than expected but not significantly.
Michigan consumer expectations and sentiment were slightly stronger.
Market Analysis
Dan initially thought most data was bond-friendly, but upon closer inspection, realized the market's confusion.
Charts show a bounce above a trend line, stalling at the Fibonacci 38.2 level.
If this level doesn't hold, things could turn bearish.
MBS Market
MBS market shows a similar pattern of failing to hold critical Fibonacci levels.
Market is showing signs of running out of steam, indicating a bearish outlook.
Closing Thoughts
Dan advises caution, playing defense, and wishes everyone a great weekend.
Link to Loom
https://www.loom.com/share/d069d3a1895d4fc8ad6a60d2d3b8e202
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I have never been more excited or passionate about what we do than I am right now. We launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
https://www.loom.com/share/d069d3a1895d4fc8ad6a60d2d3b8e202
RateWatch June 28 Thought of the DayLife, like tides, has a natural Ebb and Flow. When the tide is in, things look and feel great. When the tide is low, the trash, seaweed and rocks can be seen. It is the same ocean but takes on different looks. Your life is the same. When the tide is low, you will not always help th...
Thought of the Day
Life, like tides, has a natural Ebb and Flow. When the tide is in, things look and feel great. When the tide is low, the trash, seaweed and rocks can be seen. It is the same ocean but takes on different looks. Your life is the same. When the tide is low, you will not always help things by running around and looking for change. Times like this are easy to bear if you do nothing but trust that the tide will come back, as it always does.
********************************************************************************
We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
Understanding Market Trends and Potential Impacts
Observation of Bond Yields
Noteworthy bounce off support level in bond yields.
Previous instances of similar movements indicate the significance of support and resistance levels.
Market News and Reactions
Limited information on potential reasons for market movements.
Mention of news being bond-friendly but not favorable for housing market.
Impact of new home sales data showing a significant decrease.
Upcoming Market Events
Highlighting key events for the next day, including PCE prices and Q1 GDP revision.
Discussion on potential implications of a significant GDP drop leading to a recession.
Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Analysis
Observation of a gap down in MBS prices.
Concern over breaking a critical support level at 99 in MBS.
Historical instances of sell-offs following breaks below the critical level.
Market Outlook and Caution
Warning about the possibility of breaking a trend line after riding it for an extended period.
Recommendation to be cautious and prepared for potential market downturn.
Emphasis on defensive strategies in the current market environment.
Link to Loom
https://www.loom.com/share/f80f8d6ca6ce4985832322f03253ab6f
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I have never been more excited or passionate about what we do than I am right now. We launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
https://www.loom.com/share/f80f8d6ca6ce4985832322f03253ab6f
RateWatch June 26 Thought of the DayLife, like tides, has a natural Ebb and Flow. When the tide is in, things look and feel great. When the tide is low, the trash, seaweed and rocks can be seen. It is the same ocean but takes on different looks. Your life is the same. When the tide is low, you will not always help th...
If you want to learn how to trade without risking your own capital NOW is your chance!
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Even if you can't make it, you should register anyways ;-) the webinar will be recorded and automatically sent to all registrants once we finish up.
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Friendly reminder that I'm going live today at 1:30 pm pacific to discuss my newest trading program, Futures Flight School!
Here's a few reasons you won't wanna miss it:
1. I will be discussing the utilization of prop firms and how they allow you to trade and profit off someone else's capital. This is revolutionary for those with limited capital
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3. I will be answering any and all questions you throw at me regarding the program or Futures in general
Now's your chance! Register here and I'll see you later today!
Thought of the Day
Because everything is made from pure energy and energy will attract its equal, you should know that matching the energy of what you want is the fastest and most certain way to obtain your desire. Therefore, we should also be careful not to repel our desires. This is done through hate, anger, jealousy, grudges, and, most of all, Fear. Catch and transcend these emotions before they hurt you.
********************************************************************************
We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
Update on Market Trends
Overview
Bonds are currently hovering around the 20-day moving average at 4.40.
There is a possibility of testing the Fibonacci level at 4.38, but it would take significant movement to break through to 4.27.
MBS experienced a gap up and is approaching the Fibonacci level at 98.80.
Assumptions
The pivot point at 4.40 has historically been a resistance level, which may impact future movement.
The ISM manufacturing report came in below expectations at 48.7, indicating contraction in the market.
Construction spending was lower than expected, which is bond-friendly.
Testing Strategy
Keep an eye on upcoming economic reports, such as factory orders and Jolt's job openings.
Prepare for the non-farm payroll report on Friday, as it could significantly impact market movement.
Stay cautious as unexpected data releases could swiftly change market conditions.
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I have never been more excited or passionate about what we do than I am right now. We launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
https://www.loom.com/share/f6b7a07ebb664686a0244801a8474498?sid=5ab6930b-38cd-4056-9086-547ca4844cdc
RateWatch June 3 Thought of the Day Because everything is made from pure energy and energy will attract its equal, you should know that matching the energy of what you want is the fastest and most certain way to obtain your desire. Therefore, we should also be careful not to repel our desires. This is done through h...
Thought of the Day-
Seeking the approval of others is caused by low self-esteem. I know this because it has been one of my life's challenges to overcome. When you seek the approval of others, you are telling your subconscious mind that the other person's feelings and opinions mean more than your own. Believe in yourself and love yourself, and before you know it, you will stop caring about the opinion of others. When this happens your success will soar faster and higher than you thought possible
********************************************************************************
We are going to extend our free offer to receive our weekly video to new subscribers for FREE! This newsletter will give you great content for your clients, and we also provide 6 weekly stock picks every Sunday night. These picks have generated over 230% returns over the last 109 weeks!! Here is a link to sign up at no cost. https://signup.universityofoptions.com/market-mentor-opt-in-8010
**********************************************************************************Generated by Loom AISummaryLoom Transcript Breakdown
Understanding Market Trends and Potential Movements
Current Market Situation
Market is at Fibonacci 38.2 level with a yield of 4.38.
Potential for the market to break through to Fibonacci 226, 236 levels.
MBS is at 98.30, close to a critical point.
Possibility of a downward trend towards 97.60 if support is broken.
Potential Scenarios
If market breaks through current levels, a retest of the top may occur.
MBS may see a slight reprieve to around 99 even before potential downward movement.
Upcoming Events
GDP forecasted to drop to 1.3% from 3.4%.
Anticipation of a bond rally if GDP decreases, signaling potential Fed action.
Pending home sales and core PCE prices on the horizon for market impact.
Implications for the Week
This week's events could determine the next market range.
Market reactions may be influenced by GDP, pending home sales, and core PCE prices.
Conclusion
Monitoring market movements closely based on upcoming events.
Potential for bond rally if GDP decreases, signaling Fed action.
Market trends and movements may be influenced by this week's economic data.
Link to Loom
https://www.loom.com/share/ba0d4ed7aed748d8bd81ac154e95a710
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I have never been more excited or passionate about what we do than I am right now. We launched a new product called Futures Flight School. Our program teaches beginners how to trade futures AND how to do so without using your own cash. We have members making thousands each week using this program. I urge you to check it out! Learn more by reaching out to
[email protected]
RateWatch May 28 Thought of the Day-Seeking the approval of others is caused by low self-esteem. I know this because it has been one of my life's challenges to overcome. When you seek the approval of others, you are telling your subconscious mind that the other person's feelings and opinions mean more than your own....
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