Nasdaq-100 Daily Forecast

In this page you will find my forecast on the nasdaq index, the forecast will be published daily

25/12/2023

Closure December 22nd

A slow day for the US technology stock index, which closed trading with a percentage change of +0.12%. The first movements were energetic for the index, which started at 16,799 points, close to the high of the day before, and then maintained these levels during today's trading.

Status and trend analysis

Signs of strengthening for the short-term trend with the most immediate resistance seen at 16,874.8, with a support level controlling the current phase estimated at 16,617.1. The balanced bullish strength of the Nasdaq 100 is supported by the upward crossover of the 5-day moving average over the 34-day moving average. Due to the technical implications assumed, we should see a continuation of the bullish phase towards 17,132.5.

Additional Information

17,132.5Resistance2
16,874.8Resistance1
16,777.4 Closing price
16,617.1Support1
16,456.8Support2
1.156Volatility (daily)
2.69Value At Risk %
0.93Performance (week)
53.36Performance (year) %

19/12/2023

Closure December 18th

Controlled progress for the US technology stock index, which closed up by 0.64%. The onset was stable compared to the previous day's conclusion, followed by progressive improvement throughout the meeting.

Status and trend analysis

The short-term examination of the Nasdaq 100 classifies a strengthening of the bullish phase with immediate resistance seen at 16,855 and first support identified at 16,479.4. Technically, a further upward trend in the curve is expected towards new tops estimated in the 17,230.5 area.

Additional Information

17,230.5Resistance2
16.855Resistance1
16,729.8 Closing price
16,479.4Support1
16,229.1Support2
1.159Volatility (daily)
2,696Value At Risk %
3.13Performance (week)
52.93Performance (year) %

23/02/2023

Closure February 23rd

Positive session for the index of US technology stocks, which advances well and brings home +0.94%. The debut was very positive for the index which started the session at 12,224.4 points, placing itself beyond yesterday's best level, then progressively worsening during trading to conclude in a rally at 12,180.1 around the top of the sitting.

Status and trend analysis

The medium-term panorama confirms the upward trend of the Nasdaq 100. However, examining the short-term curve shows a slowdown in the positive phase at the resistance test at 12,395, with the most immediate support identified in the 12,012.8 area. On the horizon, a negative evolution is expected in the short term towards the bottom identified at 11,845.5.

Additional Information

12,777.2 Resistance2
12.395 Resistance1
12,180.1 Closing price
12.012,8 Support1
11,845.5 Support2
2.031 Volatility (daily)
4.725 Value At Risk %
-4.90 Performance (week)
10.30 Performance (year) %

23/01/2023

Closure January 23rd

A decidedly positive session for the index of US technology stocks, which finished up 2.18%. During the day we witnessed a strong start of the index and an opening at 11,652 points above the highs of the previous session, with strengthening of the quotations during the session and closing growing at 11,872.5 close to the highs of the session.

Status and trend analysis

The short-term technical status of the Nasdaq 100 highlights a broadening of the positive performance of the curve with the first area of ​​resistance identified at 12,064.8. Risk of a possible correction up to the 11,488 target. The expectations are for an increase of the uptrendline towards the resistance area 12641.7.

Additional Information

12,641.7 Resistance2
12,064.8 Resistance1
11,872.5 Closing price
11.488 Support1
11.103,4 Support2
2.064 Volatility (Daily)
4.801 Value At Risk %
0.67 Performance (week)
6.21 Performance (year) %

23/01/2023

Closure January 20th

The index of US technological stocks was effervescent, closing the session with a decidedly positive performance of 2.86%. The start was rosy for the index which began at 11,363.9 points, proving lower than the previous day's peaks, to then broaden its performance in the continuation of the meeting and finish in a sprint at 11,619, close to the highest value of the session.

Status and trend analysis

The short-term technical status of the Nasdaq 100 highlights a broadening of the positive performance of the curve with the first area of ​​resistance identified at 11,726.8. Risk of a possible correction up to the target of 11,403.5. Expectations are for an increase in the uptrendline towards the 12050.2 resistance area.

Additional Information

12,050.2 Resistance2
11,726.8 Resistance1
11.619 Closing price
11.403,5 Support1
11,187.9 Support2
2.062 Volatility (daily)
4.798 Value At Risk %
0.67 Performance (week)
6.21 Performance (year) %

15/01/2023

Closure on January 13.

Positive session for the US tech stock index, which is doing well and taking home +0.71%. The start of the day was moderate for the index that marked an initial price at 11,362.1 points, above yesterday's minimum, to then continue rising during the session and finish in a sprint at 11,541.5, together with the value session highest.

Status and trend analysis

The short-term test of the Nasdaq 100 classifies a strengthening bullish phase with immediate resistance at 11,685.8 and first support identified at 11,252.8. Technically we expect a further upward trend in the curve towards new estimated maximums in the area of ​​12,118.9.

Additional Information

12,118.9 Resistance2
11,685.8 Resistance1
11,541.5 Closing price
11,252.8 Support1
10,964.1 Support2
2.06 Volatility (daily)
4,793 Value at risk %
4.54 (week)%
5.50 (year) %

12/01/2023

Closure January 11th

The index of US technological stocks was the protagonist, closing the session with a rise of 1.76%. During the day we witnessed an excellent start of the index, with strength and opening at 11,259.2 points above the highs of the previous session, with strengthening of prices during the session and closing growing at 11,402.5 close to the highs of the session .

Status and trend analysis

The technical status of the Nasdaq 100 is strengthening in the short term, with resistance area seen at 11,623, while first support is estimated at 10,961.7. Today's technical implications point towards a broadening of performance to the upside, with resistance seen at 12,284.3.

Additional Information

12,284.3 Resistance2
11.623 Resistance1
11,402.5 Closing price
10,961.7 Support1
10,520.8 Support2
2.06 Volatility (daily)
4.792 Value At Risk %
3.16 Performance (week)
2.43 Performance (year) %

10/01/2023

Closure January 10th

The index of US technology stocks did well, with an increase of 0.88%. During the day we witnessed a weak start and an opening at 11,069 points close to the lows of the previous session, with prices strengthening during the session, and closing growing to 11,205.8 close to the highs of the session.

Status and trend analysis

The medium-term technical status of the Nasdaq 100 reaffirms the negative trendline. However, analyzing the short-term graph, a less intense trend of the bearish line is highlighted which could favor a positive development of the curve towards the resistance area identified at 11,360.6. Any bullish cues support the target of the top at 11,825.2, while the first support is estimated at 10,896.1.

Additional Information

11,825.2 Resistance2
11,360.6 Resistance1
11,205.8 Closing price
10,896.1 Support1
10,586.4 Support2
2.061 Volatility (daily)
4.795 Value At Risk %
1.54 Performance (week)
1.54 Performance (year) %

10/01/2023

Closure January 9th

Small step forward for the index of US technology stocks, which brings home a paltry +0.62%. The debut was very positive for the index which started the session at 11,133.1 points, placing itself beyond the best level of 6 January, then progressively worsening during trading to end in apnea at 11,108.4 towards the lows of the day.

Status and trend analysis

Technically, the medium-term situation is negative, while bullish signals can be glimpsed in the short term, thanks to the stability of the support area identified at 10,863.6. The short-term positive cue is indicative of a change in the trend towards a bullish scenario, with the curve that could push towards the important resistance area estimated at 11,230.9. At an operational level, the most appropriate scenario could be a bullish recovery of the stock, with a resistance area identified at 11,598.1.

Additional Information

11,598.1 Resistance2
11,230.9 Resistance1
11,108.4 Closing price
10,863.6 Support1
10,618.8 Support2
2.061 Volatility (daily)
4.795 Value At Risk %
1.54 Performance (week)
1.54 Performance (year) %

08/01/2023

Closure January 6th

Excellent performance for the index of US technology stocks, which closed up 2.78%. During the day we witnessed a strong start and opening at 10,807.5 points, below the highs of the previous session, with prices strengthening during the session and closing growing to 11,040.4 close to the highs of the session.

Status and trend analysis

The medium-term situation of the Nasdaq 100 remains bearish. However, looking at the short-term chart, one would be starting to question the possibility of the bear phase extending. An upward improvement of the curve is therefore expected which meets the first obstacle at 11,140.1. Support seen at 10,840.9. Further bullish cues favor a new target estimated probably in the 11,439.2 area.

Additional Information

11,439.2 Resistance2
11.140,1 Resistance1
11,040.4 Closing price
10,840.9 Support1
10,641.5 Support2
2.061 Volatility (daily)
4.795 Value At Risk %
0.92 Performance (week)
0.92 Performance (year) %

05/01/2023

Closure January 4th

Modest gain for the index of US technology stocks, which advanced slightly to +0.48%. The debut was positive for the index which started at 10,949.3 points, placing itself below the best levels of 3 January, to then progressively deteriorate during trading.

Status and trend analysis

The medium-term technical status of the Nasdaq 100 remains negative. In the short term, however, we see an improvement in bullish strength, with the curve meeting the first resistance area at 11,017.5, while supports are estimated at 10,745.7. The technical implications lean in favor of a new bullish cue with a target estimated probably in the 11,289.2 area.

Additional Information

11,289.2 Resistance2
11.017,5 Resistance1
10,914.8 Closing price
10,745.7 Support1
10,576.7 Support2
2.053 Volatility (Daily)
4.776 Value At Risk %
0.37 Performance (week)
-0.71 Performance (year) %

04/01/2023

Closure January 3rd

Down session for the index of US technology stocks, which brings home a decrease of 0.70%. During the day we saw a strong start and opening at 11,038.4 points above the highs of the previous session, followed by a weakening that persists into the session.

Status and trend analysis

The medium-term situation of the Nasdaq 100 remains bearish. However, looking at the short-term chart, one would be starting to question the possibility of the bear phase extending. An upward improvement of the curve is therefore expected which meets the first obstacle at 10,982.7. Support seen at 10,711. Further bullish cues favor a new target estimated probably in the 11,254.4 area.

Additional Information

11,254.4 Resistance2
10,982.7 Resistance1
10,862.6 Closing price
10.711 Support1
10,559.3 Support2
2.053 Volatility (Daily)
4.776 Value At Risk %
0.37 Performance (week)
-0.71 Performance (year) %

02/01/2023

Closure on December 30th

The index of US technological stocks was substantially flat on the values ​​prior to the session, which at the end showed a negligible -0.1%. The debut was weak for the index which started the day at 10,835.6 points, above the bottom of the previous session, to then widen its performance later in the meeting, and ended in a sprint at 10,939.8 close to the highest value top of the seat.

Status and trend analysis

The medium-term technical status of the Nasdaq 100 reaffirms the negative trendline. However, analyzing the short-term graph, a less intense trend of the bearish line is highlighted which could favor a positive development of the curve towards the resistance area identified at 11.057 level. Any bullish cues support the target of the top at 11,363.1, while the first support is estimated at 10,750.9.

Additional Information

11.363,1 Resistance2
11.057 Resistance1
10,939.8 Closing price
10,750.9 Support1
10,562.1 Support2
2.056 Volatility (daily)
4.783 Value At Risk %
-0.42 Performance (week)
-32.97 Performance (year) %

30/12/2022

Closure on December 29th

Vigorous rise for the index of US technological stocks, which closes the session with a strong gain, surpassing the previous values ​​by 2.54%. The debut was positive for the index which started at 10,800.8 points, placing itself below the best levels of 28 December, to then gradually improve during the day and finish on the rise at 10,951 close to the intraday highs.

Status and trend analysis

The medium-term scenario is always negative, while the short-term structure shows some improvement, due to the stability of the support area identified at 10,758.4. The short-term positive movement is indicative of a potential reversal of the bearish trend, with possible attempts to attack prices towards the important resistance area estimated at 11,064.5. The possibility of a continuation of the bullish phase towards 11,370.6 is therefore concrete.

Additional Information

11,370.6 Resistance2
11,064.5 Resistance1
10.951 Closing price
10,758.4 Support1
10,565.8 Support2
2.05 Volatility (daily)
4.768 Value At Risk %
-0.05 Performance (week)
-32.90 Performance (year) %

29/12/2022

Closure on December 28th

The index of US technological stocks was subdued, closing the session with a drop of 1.32%. The first steps were under the banner of neutrality for the index, which then continued increasingly sluggish, slipping towards the lower value of 10,671.2 towards the end.

Status and trend analysis

New technical evidence classifies a worsening situation for the Nasdaq 100, with potential descents to the most immediate support area seen at 10,493.8. Sudden strengthening, on the other hand, would undermine the above scenario with a bullish trigger and target on the most immediate resistance identified at 11,050.4. Expectations for the next session are for a continuation of the decline down to the important support positioned at 10,308.3.

Additional Information

11,606.9 Resistance2
11,050.4 Resistance1
10,679.3 Closing price
10,493.8 Support1
10.308,3 Support2
2.055 Volatility (Daily)
4.78 Value At Risk %
-2.26 Performance (week)
-33.69 Performance (year) %

27/12/2022

Closure on December 27th

Composite and controlled decline for the index of US technology stocks, which closes the session down by 1.48% on previous values. The debut was weak for the index which started the day at 10,944.3 points above the bottom of the previous session and then deteriorated its performance during the meeting and finished even worse at 10,822.5 on the low of the session .

Status and trend analysis

The technical scenario of the Nasdaq 100 shows a widening of the descending trendline at the test of the support 10,684.7 with a resistance area identified at 11,098.1. The bearish figure suggests the probability of testing new identifiable bottoms in the 10,546.9 area.

Additional Information

11,511.5 Resistance2
11,098.1 Resistance1
10,822.5 Closing price
10,684.7 Support1
10,546.9 Support2
2.055 Volatility (Daily)
4.782 Value At Risk %
-0.89 Performance (week)
-32.69 Performance (year) %

Nasdaq100_Daily_Forecast 24/12/2022

Forecast also available on my telegram channel

Nasdaq100_Daily_Forecast In this channel you will find my forecast on the nasdaq index, the forecast will be published every day at 6:30pm Bogota time

24/12/2022

Closure on December 23rd

Modest gain for the index of US technology stocks, which advanced slightly to +0.27%. During the day we witnessed a weak start and opening at 10,911 points, above the lows of the previous session, with prices strengthening during the session, and closing growing to 10,985.4 close to the highs of the session.

Status and trend analysis

Technical framework in clear deterioration with control supports estimated at 10,882.4 area. On the upside, however, a polarizing level for higher outflows is seen at 11,162.2. The deterioration of the Nasdaq 100 is evidenced by the downward crossing of the 5-day moving average with the 34-day moving average. In the very short term, the possibility of new drops by target to 10,779.4 are concrete.

Additional Information

11,441.9 Resistance2
11.162,2 Resistance1
10,985.4 Closing price
10,882.4 Support1
10,779.4 Support2
2.053 Volatility (Daily)
4.777 Value At Risk %
-2.30 Performance (week)
-32.69 Performance (year) %

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