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As of October 16, 2024, the commodity and currency markets are seeing varied trends across sectors:

Commodities Market:

Oil: Brent crude is trading around $74.45 per barrel, while WTI is slightly lower at $70.83 per barrel. Prices are softening amid stable global demand and supply adjustments by OPEC+. Projections for 2024 indicate average prices of about $83 per barrel, supported by resilient demand, especially from emerging markets.

Metals: Precious metals are gaining traction, with gold at $2,667 per ounce, silver at $31.58, and palladium at $1,013.50. Demand for safe-haven assets has been bolstered by ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Industrial metals such as copper and aluminum are experiencing downward pressure, with copper at $9,401 per ton, as slowing global economic activity dampens demand.

Agriculture: Cocoa prices are surging, up by 2.49% to £5,800 per ton, driven by supply constraints. On the other hand, corn and soybeans are seeing modest gains.



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Today's international commodity and currency markets are reacting strongly to a mix of geopolitical tensions, economic data, and central bank policies.

As of October 4, 2024, global commodity and currency markets are experiencing significant volatility due to geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, where conflict is escalating following an Iranian missile attack on Israel. This situation has driven up oil prices, with Brent crude trading at around $77.70 per barrel, and it could have broader impacts if the conflict spreads, affecting supply chains and adding to market uncertainty.

On the currency front, the US dollar remains strong, supported by safe-haven demand amidst these geopolitical tensions. The EUR is trading above 1.1000 against the USD, while the GBP has slipped to 1.3120. Commodity-linked currencies, such as the New Zealand and Australian dollars, have been under pressure, with the NZD dropping to 0.6220 and the AUD below 0.6850.

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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently said that the economic risks facing the United States are a “double-edged sword.” According to him, the best solution is to constantly monitor and evaluate economic data, while making decisions on interest rates at each meeting.

In his first speech since the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, which came at a pre-scheduled conference in Nashville, Powell made clear that the Fed is prepared to cut rates further and pursue a balanced monetary policy if the economy can achieve healthy growth.

Powell stressed the strength and durability of the US economy, noting that the Fed is using all its tools to maintain this situation. He also considered that the increase in the unemployment rate was not noticeable or harmful, and that the Fed succeeded in reducing high inflation without significantly affecting the unemployment rate.

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The Bank of Japan left interest rates in negative territory as widely expected on Tuesday, and said it will continue with its yield curve control measures to support Japanese economic growth.

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For an asset often touted as some ultimate “safe haven” or “inflation hedge”, gold is having a difficult year.

If the metal really is what so many of its adherents believe it to be, then these should be some of the best days it has seen for years. After all, inflation has re-awakened across the globe. And that after decades of such obliging docility that a whole trading generation won’t have encountered price rises of current magnitude in their lives. Inured to a world in which even 2% inflation targets often proved elusive, 2022 has provided hard lessons...

Read Full Article over here: https://www.dailyfx.com/news/gold-looks-like-neither-inflation-hedge-nor-safe-haven-20221114.html

UK PM urges restraint on public pay

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Saturday that public pay could not be raised sharply, as demanded by trade unions, because it would risk fuelling a further rise in inflation.

"What we can't have is a situation in which increases in pay are just wiped out by further increases in prices, and so that's why you've got to be responsible," Johnson told .

Johnson also said that "overall" the Bank of England had done an outstanding job managing inflation over the past 25 years and he said the recent surge in price growth was due to global inflation problems.