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Cannabis ETF printing a hanging man candle today which can be taken as bearish if we get follow through coming up. Long bottom wick shows there was strong selling pressure and then got bought back up a little. Could be a sign of exhaustion. Best to not be caught chasing and wait for an entry.
I had a hunch 2020 was the time to accumulate into Cannabis stocks but I didn't pull the trigger. Now I may be eyeing an entry around this level for a LONG hold.
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Barrack Gold looking favorable here. Dividend paying gold miner company to benefit from metals bull market. Basing at support with bullish divergence. Entry below $23 looking solid.
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Macro View: History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes. Here we are in the last phase of the bull market, the blow off top. The gains seeing during this phase are unrealistic and a greed trap to get as many people in the market as possible at the top. The ultimate formula being a huge wave of new retail investors that aren't super educated in markets and unprecedented amounts of leverage.
With my predicted deflationary bust later this year, into 2022, I am seeing a potential drop of 80% in the index from the top. This would back test a major level of resistance from the dot com bubble and 2016.
If you have bought in the last few years and don't plan on taking profit along this phase, there is a high chance you will either sell at a major loss when your loss can't be managed anymore or you will be bag holding for a decade+ waiting to BREAK EVEN.
Big tech has pretty much stayed dormant since September and now appears to be breaking out to drive the indices higher for this last vertical leg. Highly advised to take profits and raise stop losses along the way.
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QQQ Printed a bearish reversal hanging man candle last week with the long bottom wick. Bearish divergence showing on the 3B strength Indicator which takes into account volume, not just price action.
🩸| The hanging man candle shows weakness when the price broke down below the trendline. Eventually price got bought back up and now we need to watch for follow through this week if we get some volume to the downside. Advised last week to start taking profits, especially on Tesla which was down 7.8% today.
💰 | Positions entered today: - Put Debit Spread 295/280p 2/26/21
- Put Debit Spread
600/500p - 2/19/21
📲 | Join our Discord with the link in the bio for the up to date trades and analysis. Trade ideas for QQQ and TSLA posted last night.
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Watch your dollars. Double top at the 61.8% retracement from the previous ‘00-‘08 decline. Would be watching to see this this channel holds true.
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Weekly bullish pendant building up. Tried breaking out last week and ended up falling back in. Expecting a big move on Amazon coming soon, I lean bullish with no current position.
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Critical point for almost everything these coming months..metals, stocks, bonds, dollar etc... The above TLT chart playing out in yellow, would not be a good sign for most assets. TLT could be used now as a hedge for securing profits in the stock market which I expect to hit a tipping point in the semi-near future.
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Hit our first price target after a breakout and backtest from the bullish pennant. Expecting NIO to continue to move to it’s all time highs and possibly further.
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Alibaba looking good at these levels for a possible reversal assuming the trendline from 2018 holds. Has been the accumulation zone and I would expect the same to continue unless we continue breaking support.
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Tech Stocks have been on a tear and currently have been making a rising wedge pattern.
The first image was the notice in the Discord to start thinking about taking profit and going risk off. Today, in the second picture we have broke out of this wedge and now we will need to watch carefully and tread lightly on risky positions.
📲 | Discord link in the bio for the live analysis
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Bearish Divergence playing out after a rejection of ATH. Re-entry for BTC coming possibly at the bottom of this channel around 14000-15000. BTC has been the best performing asset consistently and is expected to continue as the Feds destroy the dollar. Just note, it is a very volatile asset with 10-30% swings not being uncommon. Recommendation is buy the dips and hold for when BTC is Trillions in market cap.
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📝 | Bullish Engulfing Candlestick: Bullish candle usually occurs at the end of a down trend and is identified by the candle closing above the previous, fully engulfing it.
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📝 | Hammer candlesticks usually appears after a downtrend. It is considered by traders to be a reliable reversal signal even with only one candle.
📈| Here you can see Apple found support and the bulls stepped in. If you wanted to wait for confirmation, you could wait for the next confirmation candle or the lower high later on.
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📝 | Bonus: Heikin Ashi Candles: These candles can be used to filter out some of the noise giving you more confidence in your position better showing you trends and trend changes.
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📝 Candles tell you the opening, closing, high and low price for the time frame you are looking at.
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🕯 Candle Stick Patterns are your Foundation. 🧠 Learning them can help you spot reversals or continuation patterns giving confidence in your position.
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Fundamentals: Although I believe short to mid term, stocks, gold, cryptos will continue to perform well, the coming years will likely be a hard time for all assets once the wave of bankruptcies come. Here is a favorable entry point into the bond market to act as a hedge against down turn to come. During deflationary periods, money tends to flow from all assets to bonds.
Technicals: Recently TLT has broken out of the 13 year price channel. Currently we are back testing this channel and another bullish channel. If these trendlines hold, we should see a continuation in bonds. You can see in '08 and other periods of downturn how TLT reacted. We expect these levels to hold and the best accumulation zone will be around this area.
Trade: Setup has Risk/Reward Ratio of: 6 to first price target and 16 to second target. Recommended to take profit and raise stop loss along the way.
Potentially forming a weekly cup and handle pattern. Have to start reversing and breaking through some resistance levels but potential upside is big from here. There is a big buyer sitting there at that lower support. If you can recognize these support levels, you can join the smart money. 📲 Link in bio.
Parabolic Analysis
Accumulation happens at the bases before they mark up the prices. The final phase is the distribution phase where they sell into retail investors getting a fear of missing out. Don't worry, NIO likely will come back and test a previous level. I will be a more confident buyer around the gap fill 22.59.
The disconnect between physical and paper markets is considerable. The paper markets represent $5T whereas there is a $20B market for physical silver. If the price of silver were based off the total market, silver's price value would be roughly $5000/oz. Not saying silver is going there but this is decades of manipulation and curving demand from the physical market to paper all while buying up the physical silver for themselves. There is definitely an extreme undervaluation here and once the leveraged naked shorts get wiped out, silver will moon.
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Setting up a bullish pennant on weekly and daily time frames. High volume run ups are usually followed by a period of consolidation before a continuation/reversal. Once silver breaks above the upper trendline and clears 23.55, SLV should start its move to $30+ by the end of the year. This is just the start for silver and gold and if it isn't a part of your portfolio yet, I'd strongly consider it. Do your own due diligence as always.
For those just joining, this is our main platform of information on anything finance/market related and definitely worth joining. Hope to see you there!
To become a consistent trader in the stock market over the long term, you need to ask yourself these questions before even placing your buy order.
Triple top on daily chart with Bearish Divergence. Also, looks like it possibly could be forming a bearish channel. Looking like we will be at least testing the 200sma and if we get major selling pressure, monthly support at 375 could be in play. Overall tech has been really weak and selling/trimming at the pops has been wise if you have contracts.
Markets continuing to sell off before elections. The move in VIX has roughly followed previous elections and shouldn’t be a major concern yet unless we start making lower lows. We currently have a lower high in place, two rejections off the megaphone and monthly bearish divergences still in play yet.
Descending wedge looking for confirmation to a break to the upside after finding weekly support.
Caught the bullish trend lines out of a break to the downside from the triangle pattern. Looking for either a break to the upside or downside soon but I lean bullish due to fundamentals. Keep an eye on the though. Bullish dollar will put pressure on all assets.
ABC corrective wave looks to have completed, looking like a good risk/reward setup here for an entry around $44/$45.
(1M) still respecting the topping megaphone pattern with monthly bearish divergences. These divergences show that even with the price of the stocks increasing, momentum and strength is decreasing and not confirming the moves in price. On this timeframe, these divergences can take months/years to play out but they usually do. Expect to *at least* test the March lows at some point in the relatively near future (2021+). Be careful not to get FOMO with any parabolic moves up. It is the markets goal to trap as many retail investors at the top as possible.
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