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Jun 23, 2023 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Jun 23 07:30:36 UTC 2023 (20230623 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20230623 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
SLIGHT 91,965 12,438,478 Columbus, OH...Nashville, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...
MARGINAL 167,473 21,098,929 Indianapolis, IN...Memphis, TN...Cleveland, OH...Toledo, OH...Fort Wayne, IN...
Probabilistic Graphic
20230623 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
SIG SEVERE 43,924 6,910,460 Nashville, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Clarksville, TN...
15 % 92,167 12,293,187 Columbus, OH...Nashville, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...
5 % 167,560 21,356,610 Indianapolis, IN...Memphis, TN...Cleveland, OH...Toledo, OH...Fort Wayne, IN...
SPC AC 230730
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0230 AM CDT Fri Jun 23 2023
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE MID MISSISSIPPI...OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS...
...SUMMARY...
A severe threat will be likely across parts of the mid Mississippi,
Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Sunday. Large hail, wind damage and
perhaps a couple tornadoes will be possible.
...Mid Mississippi, Ohio and Tennessee Valleys...
An upper-level trough will move eastward across the north-central
states on Sunday, as a 60 to 70 knot mid-level jet translates
eastward across the mid Mississippi Valley. At the surface, a low
will move into the western Great Lakes as a cold front advances
southeastward into the mid Mississippi Valley. Ahead of the front,
surface dewpoints in the low to mid 70s F will contribute to a
corridor of moderate to strong instability by early afternoon from
western Tennessee into central and northern Kentucky. During the
afternoon, convection is forecast to first initiate on the northern
edge of the stronger instability, with storms moving eastward across
the Ohio Valley during the mid to late afternoon. Convective
coverage should continue expanding across the region during the
early evening, with a band of storms moving east-southeastward into
the central Appalachians, and southeastward into the Tennessee
Valley. MCS development will be possible across parts of the Ohio
and Tennessee Valleys.
The mid-level jet will move into the Ohio Valley during the
afternoon, enhancing large-scale ascent and creating moderate
deep-layer shear. NAM forecast soundings near Cincinnati during the
late afternoon have 0-6 km shear in the 40 to 45 knot range with
some directional shear present in the low levels. In addition,
MLCAPE is forecast to peak in the 3000 to 4000 J/kg range. This
combined with mid-level lapse rates near 7 C/km should be favorable
for supercells with large hail. Hailstones greater than 2 inches in
diameter will be possible. Wind damage will also possible with
supercells and the more intense line segments. In addition, 0-3 km
storm-relative helicity is forecast to increase into the 300 to 350
m2/s2 range, suggesting that a tornado threat may also develop. The
severe threat could be upgraded to Enhanced Risk in later outlooks,
if model runs continue to show a greater coverage of severe threat
Sunday afternoon and evening.
Further to the west, a severe threat will also be possible in parts
of the Ozarks Sunday afternoon. Although a potential will exist for
isolated large hail and wind damage, weaker large-scale ascent and
warm temperatures in the mid-levels should keep convective coverage
more isolated
Severe Weather Update: 7:00 PM June 14, 2023 --------------------------------------National Weather ServiceNorman, Oklahomaweather.gov/norman
Good evening everyone hope everyone is well and having a great weekend stay safe always be weather weather keep reaching for your goals and make new goals and always be inspired to inspire others never know how much you can change someone's look on their situation always strive to be the best you can have a good night and thank you for being apart of this page we appreciate you. Posted by owner of the page Grady
The fire at the moment is between two and 3 acres in the Riverside area of California 
Some more information and more updates to follow. If you have a Zello, it is updates on the Carer rescue channel, and if you can help them please give them a shout or get in touch with them on their Facebook channel
More updates just to let you know that because I’m in England the times are going to be wrong so I have removed the times that the fire is live now, but I’ve left the right time on some of the pictures there is also an evacuation order in progress. This is in California not over here in England. 
1 acre fire, just off Riverside County, California 
update Wildfires what is 10 acres now 15 Johnson far department on scene 
Define what happened yesterday in Riverside County is to giving problems on Avenue 66. There is about 127 acre fire information is about seven minutes old now.
Define what happened yesterday in Riverside County is to giving problems on Avenue 66. There is about 127 acre fire information is about seven minutes old now.
Good morning everyone have a great day
Latest update for Riverside, California 
This week, make it your goal to thank all men and women you see for risking their lives daily for the safety of our community. WE STAND WITH WITH YOU IN BLUE!
Good morning everyone let us know your weather conditions in your area ?
Conditions in Memphis Tennessee
Temp 58'
Conditions Fog
Humidity 99%
Dewpoint 58'
Wind nnw 8 mph
Sunset 7:37 p. M.
Expecting more rain and storms today and showers and storm so tonight with gradual clearing late tonight lows in the 50s warming back into 60s and 70s more rain and storms later this week. Have a great day everyone stay safe
Breaking news reports of a bomb explosion in Seattle Washington details to follow
🚨 : A train carrying hazardous materials has derailed and caught fire
📌 |
A catastrophic event has unfolded in Rockwood, Maine, as a train transporting hazardous materials has derailed and subsequently caught fire. The situation has prompted the dispatch of multiple emergency crews, including hazmat to the scene. authorities have issued advisories urging local residents to steer clear of the affected area. Officials say This incident is particularly alarming given its proximity to Moosehead Lake, one of the largest freshwater bodies in the state.
Hacia el Medio Sur, el riesgo mejorado se ha expandido hacia el este en partes del noreste de Arkansas. Esperamos que los vientos dañinos y el granizo grande sean los principales peligros. Asegúrese de tener varias formas de recibir advertencias
Heads up Mid-South, the enhanced risk has been expanded eastward into portions of northeast Arkansas. We expect damaging winds and large hail to be the primary hazards. Make sure you have multiple ways to receive warnings as this will be another nighttime event.
NWS Memphis on Twitter “Hacia el Medio Sur, el riesgo mejorado se ha expandido hacia el este en partes del noreste de Arkansas. Esperamos que los vientos dañinos y el granizo grande sean los principales peligros. Asegúrese de tener varias formas de recibir advertencias”
About 26 acres is a light at the moment there has been an evacuation order issued 
Bureau Home > Australia > Western Australia > Forecasts > Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
DW10800
Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 9:51 am WST on Saturday 8 April 2023
for the period until midnight WST Tuesday 11 April 2023.
Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
ITHER REP
There are no significant lows currently in the region.
A tropical low, 23U was located outside the region near 9.8S 129.7E, about 600km northeast of Kalumburu at 8am AWST. It is likely to enter the region on Monday when it is forecast to reach tropical cyclone intensity and hence the risk of being a tropical cyclone increases to high and remains high through the week.
The developing system is expected to intensify into a severe tropical cyclone over open waters on Tuesday or Wednesday and then turn to the south toward the coast. At this range a coastal impact appears likely and may be as soon as Wednesday or more likley Thursday most likely to the east Pilbara to adjacent west Kimberley coastal region.
Tropical Cyclone Advice is current: refer to latest information at: www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Sunday:
Monday:
Tuesdav:
Low
High
High
There are no other significant tropical lows expected in the region for the next seven days
Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Sunday:
Very Low
Monday:
Very Low
Tuesday:
Very Low
NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
Moderate:
less than 5%
Low:
20 to 50%
High:
5% to 20%
Over 50%
The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.
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