Ideal Lending: Ivan Lanz, Mortgage Broker NMLS #334948

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟵, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗯𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 👍
Mortgage rates ended the week just slightly better after the Fed's favored gauge of inflation, the personal consumption expenditure price index, came out showing inflation continues to move lower, opening the door for rate cuts.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 👍
This week is expected to be good for mortgage rates, with the Fed unlikely to cut its policy rate yet but more likely to signal cuts could start at the next meeting. There is also a lot of labor market data this week that could support upcoming Fed rate cuts, and could help mortgage rates improve this week.

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Labor market data: The week is full of data, but the two most important reports for mortgage rates are the job opening and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) on Tuesday, and the BLS jobs data and unemployment number on Friday.
- The Fed: The two-day Fed meeting concludes on Wednesday at 2pm ET, where the Fed is likely to leave rates unchanged but signal cuts could be coming. Fed Chair Powell's press conference at 2:30pm ET is when markets are likely to react most, setting up possible rate reprices Wednesday afternoon and better rates on Thursday morning when lenders set rates.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟮, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates actually improved to start the week, before moving slightly higher on Friday. The moves may have been because of the huge Microsoft outage which affected trading, or could have just been due to a slight pullback in expectations for three Fed policy rate cuts by year's end. Either way, the moves were small.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗵𝗼𝗹𝗱 𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗮𝗱𝘆 👍
Despite the magnitude of President Biden announcing he will not run for reelection, his announcement has no real effect on mortgage rates. Although politics does play a role in markets and rates, mortgage rates continue to be most heavily influenced by the Fed and the possibility of coming rate cuts.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- PCE inflation data: Coming on Friday, this is the Fed's favored gauge of inflation and is likely to show that inflation moved lower in June (like the CPI inflation report did). Mortgage rates may end the week slightly improved if that is the case.
- Expectations of Fed rate cuts: Markets currently expecting cuts to start in September (not the upcoming July meeting) and for there to be three cuts this year, helping mortgage rates remain steady unless that outlook changes.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟭𝟱, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 👍
Mortgage rates improved as inflation data last week came in even better than expected, showing dropping inflation and supporting the belief that the Fed will cut policy rates up to three times this year starting at September's Fed meeting.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 👍
Rates are now at some of the lowest levels of the year, but aren't likely to move much lower this week. Mortgage rates are heavily influenced by inflation, the labor market, and forecasts of when and how much the Fed will cut policy rates. With this month's big labor and inflation reports behind us, we won't likely see mortgage rates make any big moves this week.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- The Fed: Fed officials are out in force this week speaking, the last week they can do so before the blackout period enforced ahead of every Fed meeting. Despite this month's data, Fed officials are likely to signal support for keeping policy rates unchanged further into the year. Because markets don't expect the Fed will be able to avoid cutting rates as soon as September, the Fed speeches are unlikely to hurt or help mortgage rates.
- Economic data: Not a lot of data this week that will affect rates.

🔥 𝗟𝗲𝘁'𝘀 𝗖𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗯𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗟𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀! 👍

If you've been watching mortgage rates because...

✅ You're thinking of buying a home...
✅ Consolidating some debt...
✅ Any other reason...

I've got good news! 🎉

Text me, DM me, call me, whatever you like... just be sure we talk soon before we miss this chance!

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟴, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 👍
Rates were as volatile last week as expected, moving higher early in the week before falling after the Independence Day holiday. Despite more new jobs created than expected for last month, most of the week's jobs data pointed to a softening labor market, supporting the idea that the Fed could start cutting rates in September.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸 ⚠️
Rates are expected to get at least a little bit better this week as inflation data shows inflation continues to move lower. However, there is risk that if we get a surprise increase in inflation it would push rates higher on the week.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- The Fed: Fed Chair Powell will testify on the economy in front of Congress this week, as he does twice a year. If his comments lead markets to believe the Fed is likely to cut rates this year, it will help hold rates at these levels or improve.
- Inflation data: Consumer inflation data comes out Thursday and will have the biggest effect on rates this week, with wholesale inflation data coming out on Friday. If inflation continues to show signs of cooling, that will support Fed rate cuts later this year and help mortgage rates.

New 5.0-star Review: "We’re very grateful with Ivan and his team for their service and attention. They’re very professional, efficient and knowledgeable. They helped us every step of the way and made our dream of becoming homeowners a reality. "

New 5.0-star Review: "No tengo mas que palabras de agradecimiento para Ivan y su equipo por haber hecho posible que el dia de hoy seamos Homeowners. Experiencia, eficacia, rapidez aunado a un excelente servicio describen a Ivan y a su equipo. Siempre al pendiente y atento con cada detalle."

New 5.0-star Review: "We’re very grateful with Ivan and his team for their service and attention. They’re very professional, efficient and knowledgeable. They helped us every step of the way and made our dream of becoming homeowners a reality!"

New 5.0-star Review: "No tengo mas que palabras de agradecimiento para Ivan y su equipo. Con su gran experiencia nos llevaron de la mano en todo este proceso, siempre atentos y siempre al pendientes de cada detalle; en menos de lo que nos imaginamos ya eramos Homeowners. Experiencia, rapidez y eficiencia definen a Ivan y su equipo. Gracias infinitas!"

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟭, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Rates moved slightly higher to end the week, despite a positive reaction to Friday's inflation data. Most lenders started off Friday with better rates but were forced to reissue new rate sheets through the afternoon as mortgage bonds lost ground in month's end trading. Mortgage bonds are the basis that lenders use when setting mortgage rates.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
Mortgage rates are likely to move this week, but whether that move is higher or lower will depend on the labor market data. Markets will close early on Wednesday and be closed on Thursday for the holiday, as will most mortgage lenders. Friday has the most potential to see rates move.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: There will be a handful of reports throughout the week that will affect mortgage rates.
- Jobs data: Tuesday brings labor market data on job openings and layoffs, while Friday brings the BLS jobs report showing unemployment, wages, and new jobs created in June.
- Independence Day: Since the 4th falls on a Thursday, many traders will take an extended weekend, and the resulting decrease in trading volume adds to the potential volatility for rates this week.

New 5.0-star Review: "As a Realtor who represented the seller, Ivan was very attentive and helpful. He sends out updates on the loan's progress, answers calls straight away. He went above and beyond his duty as a Mortgage Broker by coming through for the Realtor representing the buyer at the end of the escrow who became incapacitated by doing the final walk thru! We closed early and I highly recommend Ivan to represent you as a buyer!"

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝟮𝟰, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗱 👍
Rates were basically unchanged last week, not only for the week but with very little movement day-to-day. Overall it was a very quiet week for rates.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 👍
Mortgage rates shouldn't move much this week, but could improve a little bit if this week's inflation data comes in as expected. Keep in mind though that we could see a lot more volatility next week with labor data and the Independence Day holiday.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: There's really not a lot happening this week although Thursday will bring the final GDP numbers for the first quarter. It isn't likely this data has a big effect on mortgage rates though.
- Inflation data: Friday will bring the Fed's favored inflation gauge, which is expected to show the slowest inflation since late last year and open the door to possible Fed rate cuts later this year.
- The Fed: Mortgage rates will remain near the current levels as long as markets believe the Fed will cut rates later this year. Markets are currently expecting the Fed to cut rates starting in September and to cut rates twice by the end of the year. If markets believe the economic and labor market data would require the Fed to cut rates sooner or more aggressively, that would help mortgage rates improve. That is why next week's labor market data will be important to mortgage rates.

New 5.0-star Review: "Once again I am very pleased with Ivan and his team I’ve worked with Ivan numerous times and have always been very happy with his work and service.

The communication between us has been the best through the whole process. Ivan once again help me and my family, without him and his team we would have lost the opportunity to buy our new dream home.

He looks for alternatives to help us always goes out of his way to help and keep the client happy and in this case he did extremely hard work to help us find solutions to our emergency situation got us the money $$ we needed to resolve our emergency and
has a creative strategic way to sale our old home for us to have the money on time for us since we are purchasing our new DREAM HOME"

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝟭𝟳, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 👍
Rates improved last week when data showed both wholesale and consumer inflation is once again moving lower. The Fed left its policy rate unchanged last week and Fed Chair Powell signaled the Fed isn't likely to make any moves at the next meeting in July, with Fed officials projecting between 1-2 cuts this year.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
While it was great to see rates move lower last week, we could be seeing rates capped out for the near term, meaning we aren't likely to see them move lower this week and instead are likely to see them get slightly worse. For those in process and closing soon, consider discussing locking with your mortgage pro. Those not yet under contract or in process though shouldn't worry much, rates are not likely to move that much higher.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Juneteenth holiday: Markets will be closed in observance of Juneteenth on Wednesday, and mortgage rates won't move that day.
- Economic data: Only a couple reports this week to watch, retail sales on Tuesday and PMI data on Friday. If the data reflects economic weakness we could see rates improve just slightly, but stronger data would pressure rates higher on the week.

New 5.0-star Review: "We have consulted and done business with Ivan on numerous times and he has been the best! Ivan has gone above and beyond for us every single time, he has the best customer service and always attended to our needs while being assertive and supportive. Throughout the whole process Ivan has checked in with us while being informative, helpful and extremely resourceful. To anyone thinking about consulting with Ivan, we 100% recommend him and will definitely be doing business with him again in the future."

New 5.0-star Review: "We have consulted and done business with Ivan on numerous times and he has been the best! Ivan has gone above and beyond for us every single time, he has the best customer service and always attended to our needs while being assertive and supportive. Throughout the whole process Ivan has checked in with us while being informative, helpful and extremely resourceful. To anyone thinking about consulting with Ivan, we 100% recommend him and will definitely be doing business with him again in the future. "

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝟭𝟬, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗮 𝗯𝗶𝘁 𝗰𝗿𝗮𝘇𝘆 👎
Rates improved early in the week as markets grew optimistic that the Fed was likely to cut its policy rate at least a couple of times by the end of the year. However, rates jumped higher on Friday when the BLS jobs data showed a lot more jobs were created than what had been forecast, ending the week just slightly better than the previous week.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
Rates this week will definitely move higher or lower, we just don't know which way they will go. Rates should start the week off calm, but Wednesday brings inflation data and the Fed meeting. Depending on how the data comes out and what the Fed says, we could see rates start to improve again or they could move quite a bit higher. There is a lot of risk this week.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Inflation data: The CPI inflation report comes out Wednesday morning before mortgage rates are released and will affect rates that day.
- Fed meeting and press conference: The Fed is unlikely to cut or hike rates at this month's meeting, however will release its quarterly forecast for rates. Fed Chair Powell's press conference is also likely to cause rates to move Wednesday afternoon.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝟬𝟯, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
Last week saw mortgage rates move quite a bit higher by midweek, only to recover and end the week almost unchanged. Rates rose as consumer confidence readings unexpectedly came in higher on Tuesday, but were helped by slightly better than expected inflation data on Friday.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸 👍
Mortgage rates are sure to move this week, and hopefully improve, but it will depend on the data. This week brings lots of jobs data, and any signs of a softening labor market will help mortgage rates improve ahead of next week's Fed meeting and inflation data. However, if the labor market data shows strength instead of the expected weakness, we could see mortgage rates move higher.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Jobs data: This week brings the job opening and labor turnover survey on Tuesday, the ADP private payroll report on Wednesday, jobless claims on Thursday, and the report that will have the most impact on mortgage rates on Friday, the BLS jobs report.
- Other economic data: There are a few other reports this week that will give insight into whether the economy is slowing down or not, which could help mortgage rates this week.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟴, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates were just slightly higher to end the week ahead of the holiday weekend, although it wasn't much. Fed officials were out speaking last week, with most of them saying they needed to see more signs that inflation was still dropping before they would consider voting to lower the Fed policy rate later this year.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗽 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates may continue to creep slightly higher this week, although we shouldn't see any big moves in rates. The big moves for rates could come next week when we get a lot of labor market reports and the BLS jobs data.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Inflation data: Friday brings the personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's favored inflation gauge that tracks what goods and services consumers buy and how much they pay for them. Economists expect to see the smallest increase in inflation so far this year, which could help mortgage rates recover a bit if they creep higher through the week.
- Fed speakers: More Fed officials will be out speaking this week, likely to spread the same message as the members did last week, that the Fed needs to see inflation improve for a few months before cutting rates.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟬, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 👍
Mortgage rates improved slightly last week when April's consumer price index report showed inflation easing for the first time in months. Rates were further helped when other data showed retail sales were unexpectedly flat last month.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗵𝗼𝗹𝗱 𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗮𝗱𝘆 👍
This week it is likely that mortgage rates will move slightly day-to-day, but will be basically unchanged for the week. Mortgage rates have settled in to a range anticipating that the Fed will cut rates two times this year, with the first cut likely to come at the September Fed meeting. Rates are not likely to move much lower unless we see more data showing the economy and labor market are slowing down while inflation is easing.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Fed speakers: Many of the Fed officials will be speaking this week, likely spreading the message that the Fed will keep its policy rate steady until later this year.
- Early close Friday: Markets will close early on Friday and be closed on Monday for Memorial Day. Lenders will also be closed on Monday.
- Economic data: There is little in the way of data this week to influence mortgage rates.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟭𝟯, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 👍
Mortgage rates improved a little bit last week as markets remained optimistic that the Fed will cut rates later this year and will not need to instead start hiking rates to fight inflation. Overall it was a quiet week for rates as traders held steady ahead of this week's inflation data.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲, 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 ⚠️
This week will be a big one for mortgage rates, which could either continue improving or will see a turnaround based on the reaction to the inflation data released this week. Be sure to stay in touch with your mortgage professional to assess the risks to locking or floating if you're currently in the mortgage process.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Inflation data: Wholesale inflation data comes out Tuesday, but will have a much smaller effect on mortgage rates than Wednesday's consumer CPI inflation data. The early projections are that we will see a slowing in inflation, which will help mortgage rates improve from here.
- Retail sales data: Because this report comes out on Wednesday at the same time as inflation, it will either help the market rally that improves rates or the sell off that pushes mortgage rates higher.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟲, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 👍
Mortgage rates improved last week because markets grew more optimistic that the Fed was still committed to cutting rates later in the year despite inflation not falling much this year. Rates started improving after the Fed meeting on Wednesday when the Fed kept its policy rate unchanged and Fed Chair Powell made it clear that policy rate hikes were not yet on the table. Rates continued to improve through Friday's jobs data which showed the first clear sign of a softening labor market.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵 👍
This week is not likely to bring about much movement for rates after last week's big moves. Mortgage rates are now back to reflecting two Fed rate cuts by the end of the year, and traders will be waiting to see what next week's inflation data shows.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: There is little economic data this week to affect mortgage rates, but some Treasury auctions this week could have a small effect, especially Wednesday's 10yr auction.
- Fed speakers: Fed members will be out speaking this week, and will likely reinforce the message that the Fed needs to hold rates steady until inflation shows signs of moving lower.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗔𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗹 𝟮𝟵, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗱 👍
With little economic data and with traders waiting for this week's Fed meeting, rates moved slightly day-to-day but the moves were small and rates ended the week basically unchanged.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
This week brings major labor market data and the Fed meeting and press conference. Although we try to forecast what this will mean for mortgage rates, depending on what is said and how the data comes out this week we could see mortgage rates move significantly up or down. A good week to stay in touch with your mortgage professional.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: Wednesday brings the first of many jobs reports for the week, and Friday brings the BLS jobs data which will have the greatest effect on mortgage rates. Continued signs of a strong labor market will pressure mortgage rates to move higher, while any surprise weakness could help rates improve, although not likely by much.
- Fed meeting: Wednesday brings the Fed policy statement, where the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged but to signal that cuts are not likely until much later in the year. Powell's press conference after usually causes a strong reaction in mortgage rates.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗔𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗹 𝟮𝟮, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Rates moved higher the early part of last week, but the good news is that they recovered a little bit the second half of the week and showed signs of settling down as markets adjusted to the idea that the Fed is much less likely to be cutting its policy rate until much later this year.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘀𝗮𝗺𝗲 👍
Rates are not likely to move much this week, instead markets are waiting for more news from next week's jobs data and Fed meeting. After a couple of weeks of rates moving higher, seeing rates settle down and remain unchanged for the week would actually be a step in the right direction.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: Only a couple of reports this week that have even a little bit of influence on mortgage rates, including Friday's PCE inflation data (the Fed's favored inflation gauge), not likely to move rates either up or down much though.
- The Fed: Mortgage rates will continue to react to expectations of when and how much the Fed will cuts its policy rate this year. Rates were lower when markets expected 5-6 cuts in 2024, and rates have moved higher now that markets project only 1-2 cuts not likely to start until at least September.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗔𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗹 𝟭𝟱, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Rates moved quite a bit higher last week when inflation readings came in stronger than expected, showing that inflation increased rather than dropped. Markets reacted to the data by dropping the number of Fed rate cuts forecasted for later this year.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲👎
Rates are likely to creep higher this week as markets adjust to expectations that the Fed may cut rates only twice or even once this year. Strong economic and labor data along with increasing inflation have shelved the idea that any rate cuts will happen before September at the earliest.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Fed speakers: Lots of Fed officials will be out speaking this week, likely sharing the message that the Fed does not need to cut rates yet.
- The Fed: Markets are now expecting only two or even one Fed rate cut this year as Fed officials continue to say that the strong economy and labor market along with stubborn inflation make it too early to even consider cutting rates. Mortgage rates won't move lower unless/until expectations grow again that the Fed will have to cut rates.
- Economic data: Not a lot of data this week, and what we've seen already was bad for mortgage rates.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗔𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗹 𝟴, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Rates moved slightly higher last week when strong economic and labor data made it less likely the Fed will need to cut rates until later in the year, and will likely cut rates less than the three times that was recently projected at the last Fed meeting.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲👎
Rates are more likely to creep higher this week, especially if the inflation data is disappointing, as markets adjust to the idea that the Fed may hold off on any rate cuts until much later in the year.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: This week brings important inflation data, which is not likely to be too helpful to mortgage rates. Although economists are projecting a small improvement in inflation, it would take a surprisingly low reading to help rates to rally, and that is unlikely to happen.
- The Fed: Markets are starting to bet on only two Fed rate cuts this year as Fed officials continue to say that the strong economy and labor market along with stubborn inflation make it too early to even consider cutting rates. The Fed will only need to consider cutting rates if we see signs of a weakening economy and a softening labor market that needs stimulus.

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🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗔𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗹 𝟭, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗱 👍
Rates remained basically unchanged last week, not really moving much day-to-day. There was little economic data to worry about, and it was a holiday week with markets closing early on Thursday and closed Friday.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 👍
Although rates will likely start the week worse, there are lots of opportunities to see rates improve by the end of the week with help from data showing a weakening labor market which could support the Fed cutting rates sooner, say in June.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: There is at least one report each day this week involving jobs and the labor market, which could cause mortgage rates to move day-to-day. Friday brings the most important data, with the highest chance to move rates. Data showing a weakening labor market will help rates, stronger than expected data will hurt rates.
- The Fed: Mortgage rates won't improve much unless markets believe the Fed will cut rates soon. Right now, Fed officials have said they aren't in a hurry to cut rates until they see clear confirmation that inflation is still moving lower. We need signs of softening labor market and weaker economy to create urgency for the Fed to cut rates.

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